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Wales U19 crestWales U19
v
Germany U19 crestGermany U19

UEFA U19 Championship | Wed 01 Jul, 20:00

Wales U19 v Germany U19 Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 19:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wales U19 face Germany U19 in a UEFA U19 Championship clash where attacking intent and goal-scoring prowess are expected to shape the contest. Germany U19 arrive with a strong recent record, scoring four goals in their last match and maintaining a 100% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals. Wales U19 have also seen all their recent matches surpass this goal threshold despite defensive vulnerabilities, conceding seven goals in their last outings. This fixture promises an open game with both sides pushing forward, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter under tournament pressure.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both Wales U19 and Germany U19 have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Germany U19 scored 4 goals in their last game, showing strong offensive form.
  • Wales U19 have conceded 7 goals recently, indicating defensive frailty.
  • The only previous meeting between these teams averaged 3 goals, supporting a high-scoring trend.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 78% chance based on recent form and historical data. Both teams have consistently participated in high-scoring games, with Wales U19 and Germany U19 each having a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in their latest matches. The previous head-to-head meeting also featured an average of 3 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals. Defensive weaknesses on the Wales side combined with Germany's attacking efficiency create a strong football read for Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate Wales U19100%
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate Germany U19100%
Strong positive
Last Match Goals Germany U194
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals3
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Germany U19's offensive momentum meets Wales U19's defensive vulnerabilities. The recent goal-scoring trends and tournament stakes suggest a match likely to produce multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection based on both tactical and statistical evidence.

Main risk

The main risk is that Wales U19's defensive lapses might be offset by tactical caution or game-state adjustments that limit goal-scoring opportunities.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“Germany U19's potent attack combined with Wales U19's recent defensive struggles sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The statistical trends strongly favor Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking styles and tournament urgency of both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both Wales U19 and Germany U19 have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Germany U19 scored 4 goals in their last game, showing strong offensive form.

Wales U19 have conceded 7 goals recently, indicating defensive frailty.

The only previous meeting between these teams averaged 3 goals, supporting a high-scoring trend.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The single previous meeting between Wales U19 and Germany U19 averaged 3 goals, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend.
  • Recent matches for both teams also show a 100% Over 2.5 rate, indicating a sustained tempo and attacking intent likely to produce multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wales U190
Avg goals scored
Germany U194
Wales U197
Avg goals conceded
Germany U193
Wales U190%
BTTS rate
Germany U19100%
Wales U19100%
Over 2.5 goals
Germany U19100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 78% · edge -0.1 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams have shown contrasting BTTS rates, with Germany U19 scoring and conceding regularly while Wales U19 have not had BTTS in recent games. However, the consistent Over 2.5 Goals rate from both sides indicates multiple goals will be scored, likely dominated by Germany's attacking output against Wales' defense.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 78% · edge -0.1 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Wales U19 to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
21
Check odds @ 21
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
10
Check odds @ 10
Germany U19 to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
The Over 2.5 Goals market is supported by a strong 78% , reflecting consistent high-scoring matches from both teams. The absence of data suggests a watch-only stance, but the football context and recent goal trends justify attention to this market as a likely outcome.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wales U19

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
28 Jun 2026H Spain U190-7

Germany U19

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
28 Jun 2026H Denmark U194-3
Best odds for this sectionWales U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 5% · edge +22.2 pts
21
Check odds @ 21
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
10
Check odds @ 10
Germany U19 to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Recent form data highlights Germany U19's offensive strength with 4 goals scored and a perfect Over 2.5 record. Wales U19 have conceded 7 goals recently but also share a 100% Over 2.5 rate, indicating matches with multiple goals. This form suggests an open game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Wales U19 wins
0Draws
1Germany U19 wins
18 Nov 2025Wales U19 v Germany U190-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 78% · edge -0.1 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Wales U19 to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
21
Check odds @ 21
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
10
Check odds @ 10
Germany U19 to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
The head-to-head sample is limited to one match, which featured an average of 3 goals. While the sample size is small, this meeting aligns with the broader trend of high-scoring games between these teams, lending moderate support to the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA U19 Championship

Wales U192
Played
Germany U192
Wales U190
Avg goals for
Germany U194
Wales U195.5
Avg goals against
Germany U191.5
Wales U190
Clean sheets
Germany U191
Best odds for this sectionWales U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 5% · edge +22.2 pts
21
Check odds @ 21
Load more odds for this section
Germany U19 to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Season-long trends reinforce the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams consistently involved in high-scoring matches. Wales U19's defensive record and Germany U19's attacking output align with the expectation of multiple goals in this UEFA U19 Championship fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Wales U19 Over 2.5
100%Germany U19 Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The single previous meeting between Wales U19 and Germany U19 averaged 3 goals, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend. Recent matches for both teams also show a 100% Over 2.5 rate, indicating a sustained tempo and attacking intent likely to produce multiple goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.