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Wales U19 crestWales U19
v
Germany U19 crestGermany U19

UEFA U19 Championship | Wed 01 Jul, 20:00

Wales U19 v Germany U19 Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 17:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wales U19 face Germany U19 in UEFA U19 Championship on Wed 01 Jul, 20:00. Wales U19 face Germany U19 at the Racecourse Ground in Wrexham in a crucial UEFA European Under-19 Championship Group A clash. Germany have scored at least two goals in four consecutive Euro U19 matches, underlining the attacking standard Wales must contain.

BT4Y best bet

Wales U19 Win

  • At 17/2, Wales U19 Win implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 26%.
  • Germany showed incredible attacking power by scoring four goals against Denmark but conceded three times, exposing clear defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Germany U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Wales U19.
  • Germany U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Wales U19 Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 26% for Wales U19 Win sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. Germany U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Wales U19. Germany showed incredible attacking power by scoring four goals against Denmark but conceded three times, exposing clear defensive vulnerabilities.

Model chance vs price26% model chance against roughly 11% implied
Strong positive
Germany U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 3.Visible data support
Positive
Germany U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Germany showed incredible attacking power by scoring four goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Wales U19 Win is the preferred angle because germany showed incredible attacking power by scoring four goals against Denmark but conceded three times, exposing clear defensive vulnerabilities. Germany U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Wales U19. Germany may be the better side on paper, but they are not exactly defending like a locked vault.

Main risk

Germany may be the better side on paper, but they are not exactly defending like a locked vault.

Key Data Signals

Wales U19 Win evidence

Germany showed incredible attacking power by scoring four goals against Denmark but conceded three times, exposing clear defensive.

Germany U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Wales U19.

Germany U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Wales U19 Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Wales U19 Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Wales U190
    Avg goals scored
    Germany U194
    Wales U197
    Avg goals conceded
    Germany U193
    Wales U190%
    BTTS rate
    Germany U19100%
    Wales U19100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Germany U19100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWales U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
    21
    Check odds @ 21
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Wales U19 to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Wales U19

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    28 Jun 2026H Spain U190-7

    Germany U19

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    28 Jun 2026H Denmark U194-3
    Market aligned with main pickWales U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
    21
    Check odds @ 21
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Wales U19 wins
    0Draws
    1Germany U19 wins
    18 Nov 2025Wales U19 v Germany U190-3
    Market aligned with main pickWales U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
    21
    Check odds @ 21
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Wales U19 to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    UEFA U19 Championship

    Wales U193
    Played
    Germany U195
    Wales U190
    Avg goals for
    Germany U192
    Wales U194.7
    Avg goals against
    Germany U192
    Wales U190
    Clean sheets
    Germany U191
    Market aligned with main pickWales U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
    21
    Check odds @ 21
    Season data supports Wales U19 to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Wales U19 Over 2.5
    100%Germany U19 Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Wales U19 sit at 100% and Germany U19 sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Wales U19 v Germany U19 prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

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