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VJS crestVJS
v
FC jazz crestFC jazz

Ykkönen | Sun 23 Aug, 15:00

VJS v FC jazz Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ykkönen clash features VJS hosting FC jazz in a closely contested fixture where both teams are fighting for valuable points in the mid-table battle. VJS currently sits 5th with 30 points, narrowly ahead of 7th-placed FC jazz on 29 points, adding extra intensity to this encounter. Recent form data shows FC jazz with a slight edge, having gained 9 points in their last matches compared to VJS's 7 points. Both sides have shown attacking intent, but defensive solidity and tactical discipline will be key in this balanced contest.

BT4Y best bet

FC jazz or Draw

  • FC jazz or Draw has a strong of 81%, indicating solid probability for avoiding defeat.
  • Recent form favors FC jazz slightly with 9 points versus VJS's 7 in recent matches.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going Over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 4.2 over last 5 meetings, indicating attacking encounters.
  • Standings are tight with only one point difference, increasing the likelihood of cautious play and a draw outcome.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors FC jazz or Draw with an 81% chance, reflecting FC jazz's recent form advantage and defensive strength, conceding fewer goals (1.0 per game) compared to VJS (1.6). Both teams have similar attacking output, but FC jazz's ability to avoid defeat in recent matches and the narrow league gap support this double chance pick. The price offers positive value, aligning well with the football context of a tight, competitive fixture where FC jazz can secure at least a draw.

Model Chance81%
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsFC jazz 9, VJS 7
Positive
Goals Against per GameFC jazz 1.0, VJS 1.6
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth 60%
Neutral
League Standings Gap1 point difference
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FC jazz or Draw is a sound choice given FC jazz's recent defensive resilience and slightly better form. The narrow league gap suggests a cautious game, but FC jazz's ability to avoid defeat recently and their defensive record make them a reliable double chance pick in this competitive Ykkönen fixture.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form-based rationale

“FC jazz's defensive discipline and recent form edge make the double chance a pragmatic selection in a tight mid-table clash where avoiding defeat is crucial.”

Key Data Signals

FC jazz or Draw evidence

FC jazz or Draw has a strong of 81%, indicating solid probability for avoiding defeat.

Recent form favors FC jazz slightly with 9 points versus VJS's 7 in recent matches.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going Over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 4.2 over last 5 meetings, indicating attacking encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

FC jazz or Draw notes

  • Over the last five matches and head-to-head meetings, the Over 2.5 Goals trend stands at 60%, with an average of 4.2 goals per game in direct encounters.
  • This suggests a tempo favoring open play and scoring opportunities, although the double chance pick prioritizes match control and avoiding defeat over goal count.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VJS1.8
Avg goals scored
FC jazz2.2
VJS1.6
Avg goals conceded
FC jazz1
VJS80%
BTTS rate
FC jazz60%
VJS60%
Over 2.5 goals
FC jazz60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 83%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, and their head-to-head average of 4.2 goals over five meetings suggests open, attacking games. However, the double chance pick focuses on avoiding defeat rather than goal volume, indicating that while goals are likely, the match may still be tactically balanced.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
FC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
FC jazz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
VJS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The FC jazz or Draw market is priced attractively with around 2.43, reflecting a positive of nearly 40%. This price aligns well with the model's high , making it a favorable bet without requiring caution for short pricing. The market captures FC jazz's defensive solidity and recent form advantage, offering a strong risk-reward balance.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VJS

DWDDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
16 Aug 2026H JJK4-4
09 Aug 2026A KPV-j2-1
05 Aug 2026H PKKU0-0
31 Jul 2026A Inter Turku II1-1
26 Jul 2026A KuPS Akatemia2-2

FC jazz

WDDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
15 Aug 2026A SalPa2-0
09 Aug 2026H OLS1-1
05 Aug 2026A Rops2-2
30 Jul 2026H KuPS Akatemia2-2
24 Jul 2026H TPV4-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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FC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
FC jazz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
VJS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
VJS to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
FC jazz has accumulated 9 points recently compared to VJS's 7, reflecting a slight momentum advantage. FC jazz's better defensive record in this period supports their ability to avoid defeat, while VJS's form indicates competitive resilience. This recent form context underpins the double chance selection favoring FC jazz or Draw.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1VJS wins
2Draws
2FC jazz wins
06 Jun 2026FC jazz v VJS1-1
29 Jul 2022FC jazz v VJS4-1
08 May 2022VJS v FC jazz3-3
02 Oct 2021VJS v FC jazz3-1
10 Jul 2021FC jazz v VJS3-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
FC jazz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
VJS to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The recent five head-to-head matches between VJS and FC jazz have produced an average of 4.2 goals, indicating historically open and attacking games. While this supports expectations of goal action, the tight league context and defensive form favor FC jazz's ability to avoid defeat, making the double chance a prudent selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

VJS20
Played
FC jazz20
VJS1.9
Avg goals for
FC jazz1.5
VJS1.4
Avg goals against
FC jazz1.4
VJS4
Clean sheets
FC jazz4
Best odds for this sectionFC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
FC jazz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
VJS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
VJS to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Season statistics show FC jazz conceding fewer goals per game (1.0) than VJS (1.6), indicating stronger defensive performance. Both teams average over 2 goals scored per game, supporting attacking potential. The defensive edge and balanced attack from FC jazz justify in their ability to at least draw this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6VJS30207949
7FC jazz29208571
The league standings reveal a tight race with VJS in 5th place on 30 points and FC jazz close behind in 7th with 29 points. This narrow gap increases the stakes, likely encouraging cautious tactics and making a draw or FC jazz avoiding defeat a realistic outcome in this mid-table clash.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%VJS Over 2.5
60%FC jazz Over 2.5
4.2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches and head-to-head meetings, the Over 2.5 Goals trend stands at 60%, with an average of 4.2 goals per game in direct encounters. This suggests a tempo favoring open play and scoring opportunities, although the double chance pick prioritizes match control and avoiding defeat over goal count.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.