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Vitoria crestVitoria
v
Chapecoense-sc crestChapecoense-sc

Serie A | Thu 08 Oct, 00:00

Vitoria v Chapecoense-sc Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 08:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vitoria hosts Chapecoense-sc in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown offensive intent despite defensive vulnerabilities. Vitoria's recent form includes 4 points from their last matches with a 60% BTTS rate, while Chapecoense-sc has been more prolific, averaging 1.2 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate. Both sides have a tendency to concede, with Vitoria allowing 1.8 goals on average and Chapecoense-sc 1.4, setting up a contest likely to feature goals at both ends. Tactical openness and attacking roles suggest an engaging encounter under moderate stakes.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc have BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively this season.
  • Both teams concede over 1.4 goals per game on average, indicating defensive frailties.
  • Chapecoense-sc averages 1.2 goals scored per game, showing attacking threat.
  • Vitoria's recent matches have produced BTTS outcomes 60% of the time, supporting goal exchange.
  • The model estimates a 76% chance for BTTS, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score due to consistent offensive output and defensive lapses from both sides. Chapecoense-sc's high BTTS rate (80%) and Vitoria's 60% rate, combined with average goals conceded above 1.4, create a strong likelihood of goals at both ends. The 76% significantly exceeds the market's implied 55.6%, indicating positive value. Both teams' attacking players maintain solid shot volumes and goal threat, reinforcing the expectation of mutual scoring. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Chapecoense-sc BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Vitoria BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Average Goals ConcededVitoria 1.8, Chapecoense-sc 1.4
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Market70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Attacking Player Shot VolumeHigh for key forwards
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a clear pattern of scoring and conceding goals, making Both Teams to Score a logical selection. Chapecoense-sc's stronger offensive numbers and Vitoria's defensive vulnerabilities suggest an open game with goal opportunities at both ends. This pick aligns well with the tactical openness and recent form data.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The attacking tendencies and defensive gaps on both sides make Both Teams to Score a compelling angle, especially given Chapecoense-sc's high BTTS frequency and Vitoria's willingness to engage offensively.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc have BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively this season.

Both teams concede over 1.4 goals per game on average, indicating defensive frailties.

Chapecoense-sc averages 1.2 goals scored per game, showing attacking threat.

Vitoria's recent matches have produced BTTS outcomes 60% of the time, supporting goal exchange.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.2, with a consistent pattern of both teams scoring.
  • Recent matches have featured open play and transitional attacks, supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS outcomes in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vitoria1
Avg goals scored
Chapecoense-sc1.2
Vitoria1.8
Avg goals conceded
Chapecoense-sc1.4
Vitoria60%
BTTS rate
Chapecoense-sc80%
Vitoria60%
Over 2.5 goals
Chapecoense-sc60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have shown a propensity to score and concede, with Chapecoense-sc's 80% BTTS rate and Vitoria's 60% indicating frequent goal exchanges. The average goals per match in their recent fixtures hover around 2.2, supporting an open game with scoring at both ends. This trend aligns well with the BTTS pick.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Chapecoense-sc to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Vitoria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Vitoria show a 60% BTTS rate and Chapecoense-sc show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vitoria

LDWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
20 Sep 2026H Cruzeiro1-3
13 Sep 2026A Mirassol2-2
08 Sep 2026H Gremio1-0
29 Aug 2026A Atletico-MG1-2
23 Aug 2026H Bahia0-2

Chapecoense-sc

DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
19 Sep 2026A Atletico-MG1-1
12 Sep 2026H Internacional1-2
06 Sep 2026A Corinthians2-1
30 Aug 2026A Gremio1-3
23 Aug 2026H Sao Paulo1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Chapecoense-sc to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Vitoria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Vitoria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Recent form data shows Vitoria earning 4 points with a 60% BTTS rate, while Chapecoense-sc has collected 7 points and an 80% BTTS rate. Both teams have scored and conceded in most of their latest matches, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Vitoria Over 2.5
60%Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.2, with a consistent pattern of both teams scoring. Recent matches have featured open play and transitional attacks, supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS outcomes in this fixture.

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