Villarreal

Real Betis

La Liga | Mon 14 Sep, 20:00

Villarreal v Real Betis Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 08:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Real Betis host Villarreal in a La Liga clash marked by contrasting recent fortunes and tactical approaches. Betis seek to regain momentum after a mixed league start, boosted by a Copa del Rey win, but face a Villarreal side thriving on the road with clinical attacking transitions. Missing key creative midfielder Sofyan Amrabat, Betis rely heavily on wide play and high shot volume to challenge Villarreal's compact defense. Villarreal's vertical, direct style and set-piece strength pose a significant threat, promising a dynamic encounter with fluctuating momentum and multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Real Betis Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Price warning: current odds imply about 65%, above the 37% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
Villarreal have secured 16 points from 8 away league matches, showcasing strong road form.
Betis average 14.9 shots per game at home, emphasizing high attacking volume despite recent efficiency issues.
Both teams have scored in six consecutive La Liga meetings between these sides, indicating open play.
Betis miss key midfielder Amrabat, weakening defensive midfield cover against Villarreal's transition threat.

Price warning

Real Betis Win & Over 2.5 Goals is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 37% (-28.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Real Betis Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.42.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model rates Real Betis Win & Over 2.5 Goals with a 37% chance and 66% , reflecting the tactical setup favoring goals and Betis' home attacking volume. Villarreal's clinical away form and history of both teams scoring in recent meetings support a high-scoring Betis victory. The absence of Amrabat reduces Betis' defensive solidity, increasing the likelihood of goals. No price warnings apply, and the data quality is solid, making this a balanced selection aligned with the football context.

Price / value37% model chance vs 65% implied (-28.4 pts)

Negative

Model Chance37%

Positive

Confidence Level66%

Positive

Betis Home Attack14.9 shots per game

Positive

Villarreal Away Strength16 points from 8 away matches

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Real Betis' attacking intensity and Villarreal's potent counter-attacks set the stage for a high-scoring match. Betis' reliance on wide play and shot volume, combined with Villarreal's clinical finishing and set-piece strength, suggest Betis can edge a close contest with multiple goals. The tactical contrast and recent form data support a Betis win with over 2.5 goals.

Main risk

The concern sits behind them.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal expectation

“This fixture promises a tactical battle where Betis' high shot volume meets Villarreal's ruthless away efficiency, making a Betis win with goals a compelling scenario.”

Key Data Signals

Real Betis Win & Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Villarreal have secured 16 points from 8 away league matches, showcasing strong road form.

Betis average 14.9 shots per game at home, emphasizing high attacking volume despite recent efficiency issues.

Both teams have scored in six consecutive La Liga meetings between these sides, indicating open play.

Betis miss key midfielder Amrabat, weakening defensive midfield cover against Villarreal's transition threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Real Betis Win & Over 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.7, with a 75% Over 2.5 Goals rate for Villarreal matches.
This trend reflects a history of open games with attacking intent from both sides, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter in this fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Villarreal1.5

Avg goals scored

Real Betis1.25

Villarreal2

Avg goals conceded

Real Betis1.25

Villarreal75%

BTTS rate

Real Betis25%

Villarreal75%

Over 2.5 goals

Real Betis25%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 42% · edge +9.2 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Both teams have scored in six consecutive La Liga meetings, underscoring a pattern of open, attacking games between these sides. Betis' high shot volume and Villarreal's clinical transitions create multiple goal-scoring avenues, supporting expectations for goals on both ends and a lively match.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickReal Betis Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +15 pts

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

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Real Betis to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The Real Betis Win & Over 2.5 Goals market reflects a balanced but optimistic outlook, with no price warnings indicating fair value. The model's 37% chance aligns with the tactical and form data, suggesting the are reasonable and the selection is a solid football-based choice rather than a speculative punt.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Villarreal7.25

Avg corners for

Real Betis5

Villarreal11.5

Avg total corners

Real Betis12

Villarreal2.25

Avg yellow cards

Real Betis2

Villarreal15.25

Avg shots

Real Betis15.75

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Villarreal average 8.67 corners per game, reflecting their attacking pressure and set-piece threat, while Betis average 4 corners but compensate with high shot volume. Both teams average 2.33 yellow cards per game, indicating a competitive but disciplined contest likely to feature tactical fouls and physical duels.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Villarreal

LLDD

Last 50W 2D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 2D 2L

05 Sep 2026H Deportivo La Coruna2-3

28 Aug 2026A Alaves0-1

23 Aug 2026A Atletico Madrid2-2

16 Aug 2026A Racing Santander2-2

Real Betis

WLWW

Last 53W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 0D 1L

04 Sep 2026H Real Madrid1-0

29 Aug 2026A Levante2-5

25 Aug 2026A Valencia1-0

21 Aug 2026H Real Sociedad1-0

Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Real Betis Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

Real Betis to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Betis have collected 9 points recently with 1.25 goals scored and conceded per game, showing moderate attacking output but defensive vulnerability. Villarreal's recent form is tighter with 2 points and 1.5 goals scored but 2 conceded per game, reflecting their away resilience and tactical caution. The form data suggests a competitive match with goals likely, fitting the combined pick.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Villarreal wins

2Draws

4Real Betis wins

17 Jan 2026Real Betis v Villarreal2-0

18 Oct 2025Villarreal v Real Betis2-2

13 Apr 2025Real Betis v Villarreal1-2

15 Dec 2024Villarreal v Real Betis1-2

10 Mar 2024Real Betis v Villarreal2-3

13 Aug 2023Villarreal v Real Betis1-2

Market aligned with main pickReal Betis to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows a consistent pattern of both teams scoring and multiple goals, including a recent 2-2 draw and a 2-1 Villarreal win. This history supports the expectation of an open game with goals from both teams, though the balance slightly favors Betis at home.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

La Liga

Villarreal4

Played

Real Betis4

Villarreal1.5

Avg goals for

Real Betis1.3

Villarreal2

Avg goals against

Real Betis1.3

Villarreal0

Clean sheets

Real Betis3

Market aligned with main pickReal Betis Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +15 pts

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

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Real Betis to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Betis' season stats highlight a high shot volume (14.33 per game) but lower conversion, while Villarreal's 16 average shots and 6 on target per game underline their attacking efficiency. Betis' defensive fragility and Villarreal's set-piece strength align with the expectation of multiple goals and a Betis win.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5	Real Betis	9	4	3	0	1	0
18	Villarreal	2	4	0	2	2	-2

Betis sit 5th with 9 points, indicating solid league position and motivation to maintain momentum at home. Villarreal, ranked 17th with 2 points, face pressure to improve results but have strong away form. The standings suggest Betis have the edge in and stakes, supporting the home win angle.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Villarreal Over 2.5

25%Real Betis Over 2.5

2.7H2H avg goals

Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.7, with a 75% Over 2.5 Goals rate for Villarreal matches. This trend reflects a history of open games with attacking intent from both sides, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Villarreal v Real Betis Stats

Match Report

Real Betis Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Villarreal

Real Betis

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Football Stats Hub

Villarreal v Real Betis Stats

Match Report

Real Betis Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Villarreal

Real Betis

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