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Villarreal crestVillarreal
v
Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna

La Liga | Sat 05 Sep, 20:00

Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 10:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Villarreal face Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga on Sat 05 Sep, 20:00. Villarreal’s first home league match of the season arrives at a useful moment. Villarreal’s strong attacking numbers and home scoring history support a win, while Deportivo’s efficient finishing and Aubameyang’s form suggest they will score.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Villarreal to win and both teams to score

  • At 11/5, Villarreal to win and both teams to score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 21%.
  • Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna: Home Strength Meets Promoted Side’s Early Cutting Edge.
  • Villarreal need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Villarreal on 2 and Deportivo La Coruna on 5.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Villarreal and 100% for Deportivo La Coruna.
  • Villarreal to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.33 for Villarreal and 1.67 for Deportivo La Coruna are central to the read.
Price warning

Villarreal to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 31% while the model sits nearer 21% (-10.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.8.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 21% for Villarreal to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Villarreal need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Villarreal on 2 and Deportivo La Coruna on 5. Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna: Home Strength Meets Promoted Side’s Early Cutting Edge.

Model chance vs price21% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Negative
Villarreal need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna: Home Strength Meets Promoted.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Villarreal Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna: Home Strength Meets Promoted Side’s Early Cutting Edge. Villarreal need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Villarreal on 2 and Deportivo La Coruna on 5. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Villarreal to win and both teams to score evidence

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna: Home Strength Meets Promoted Side’s Early Cutting Edge.

Villarreal need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Villarreal on 2 and Deportivo La Coruna on 5.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Villarreal and 100% for Deportivo La Coruna.

Villarreal Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.33 for Villarreal and 1.67 for Deportivo La Coruna are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Villarreal to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Villarreal7.33
Avg corners for
Deportivo La Coruna3.67
Villarreal12.67
Avg total corners
Deportivo La Coruna9.67
Villarreal2.33
Avg yellow cards
Deportivo La Coruna2.67
Villarreal14.67
Avg shots
Deportivo La Coruna8.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 56% · edge +7.9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Villarreal1.33
Avg goals scored
Deportivo La Coruna1.67
Villarreal1.67
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo La Coruna1
Villarreal67%
BTTS rate
Deportivo La Coruna100%
Villarreal67%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo La Coruna33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVillarreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -33.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Villarreal to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Villarreal Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Villarreal

LDD
Last 50W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 1L
28 Aug 2026A Alaves0-1
23 Aug 2026A Atletico Madrid2-2
16 Aug 2026A Racing Santander2-2

Deportivo La Coruna

WDD
Last 51W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 0L
30 Aug 2026H Valencia3-1
24 Aug 2026A Malaga1-1
17 Aug 2026H Elche1-1
Market aligned with main pickVillarreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -33.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Villarreal to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Villarreal wins
4Draws
2Deportivo La Coruna wins
12 May 2018Deportivo La Coruna v Villarreal2-4
07 Jan 2018Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna1-1
14 May 2017Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna0-0
14 Jan 2017Deportivo La Coruna v Villarreal0-0
08 May 2016Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna0-2
03 Jan 2016Deportivo La Coruna v Villarreal1-2
Market aligned with main pickVillarreal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 67% · edge -39.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for Villarreal to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

La Liga

Villarreal7
Played
Deportivo La Coruna7
Villarreal1.9
Avg goals for
Deportivo La Coruna1.4
Villarreal1.7
Avg goals against
Deportivo La Coruna1.1
Villarreal0
Clean sheets
Deportivo La Coruna0
Market aligned with main pickVillarreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -33.7 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
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Villarreal to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Season data supports Villarreal Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Deportivo La Coruna1072412
9Villarreal872231
Villarreal sit in position 9, while Deportivo La Coruna sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Villarreal to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Villarreal Over 2.5
33%Deportivo La Coruna Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Villarreal sit at 67% and Deportivo La Coruna sit at 33% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.