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Vicenza Virtus crestVicenza Virtus
v
Pisa crestPisa

Serie B | Sat 10 Oct, 16:15

Vicenza Virtus v Pisa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features Vicenza Virtus and Pisa, two sides with attacking intent and recent matches favoring goal-rich outcomes. Vicenza Virtus has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, while Pisa maintains a slightly better defensive record but compensates with a more potent attack. Both teams have shown a high frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting open play and tactical setups that encourage offensive opportunities. The fixture promises a dynamic encounter with both sides pushing forward, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Vicenza Virtus and Pisa both have an 80% rate of matches finishing over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Vicenza Virtus concedes 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Pisa averages 16.2 shots per game with 6.8 on target, showing strong attacking pressure.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 4 goals per match, supporting a high-scoring trend.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 78% chance for over 2.5 goals, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating clear value. Both teams have consistently participated in high-scoring games, with Vicenza Virtus and Pisa each recording 80% over 2.5 rates this season. Pisa's offensive metrics, including high shot volume and key attacking players like I. Pittarello, further support the likelihood of multiple goals. Defensive frailties on both sides enhance the probability of an open game with several scoring opportunities.

Model Probability69.1% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Vicenza Virtus Over 2.5 Rate80% this season
Strong positive
Pisa Over 2.5 Rate80% this season
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals4 goals per match
Positive
Pisa Shots on Target6.8 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Vicenza Virtus and Pisa have shown tendencies to concede and score frequently. Pisa's offensive players create numerous chances, while Vicenza Virtus's defensive struggles suggest goals are likely. This match is well poised for over 2.5 goals given the attacking styles and recent scoring patterns of both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal-scoring potential

“Vicenza Virtus and Pisa's attacking profiles and defensive lapses set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The volume of shots and historical goal averages strongly indicate multiple goals in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Vicenza Virtus and Pisa both have an 80% rate of matches finishing over 2.5 goals this season.

Vicenza Virtus concedes 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Pisa averages 16.2 shots per game with 6.8 on target, showing strong attacking pressure.

Head-to-head meetings average 4 goals per match, supporting a high-scoring trend.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4 per game, a strong indicator of attacking openness.
  • Both teams have maintained an 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season, reflecting consistent goal-scoring tempo and defensive gaps.
  • These trends suggest a continuation of high-scoring encounters in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vicenza Virtus1.4
Avg goals scored
Pisa1.6
Vicenza Virtus2
Avg goals conceded
Pisa1.6
Vicenza Virtus80%
BTTS rate
Pisa60%
Vicenza Virtus80%
Over 2.5 goals
Pisa80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates at 80%, with Vicenza Virtus conceding 2 goals per game and Pisa scoring 1.6 on average. BTTS rates are also elevated, especially for Vicenza Virtus at 80%, indicating both sides tend to score and concede. The head-to-head average of 4 goals per match underscores the likelihood of multiple goals and both teams finding the net.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Pisa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Pisa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
3
Check odds @ 3
The 69.1% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Vicenza Virtus and 80% for Pisa, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vicenza Virtus

LDDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
20 Sep 2026A Hellas Verona1-2
12 Sep 2026H Juve Stabia1-1
06 Sep 2026A Virtus Entella2-2
29 Aug 2026A Avellino0-3
21 Aug 2026H Catanzaro3-2

Pisa

DLWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
20 Sep 2026A Mantova2-2
11 Sep 2026H Virtus Entella1-4
06 Sep 2026A Juve Stabia3-0
30 Aug 2026H Catanzaro2-1
23 Aug 2026H Padova0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 74% · edge +5.7 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Pisa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Pisa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form data shows both teams frequently engage in high-scoring matches, with Vicenza Virtus and Pisa each having an 80% over 2.5 goals rate. Vicenza Virtus has scored 1.4 goals per game but concedes 2, while Pisa scores 1.6 and concedes 1.6. These figures reflect matches with open play and goal opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Vicenza Virtus Over 2.5
80%Pisa Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4 per game, a strong indicator of attacking openness. Both teams have maintained an 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season, reflecting consistent goal-scoring tempo and defensive gaps. These trends suggest a continuation of high-scoring encounters in this fixture.

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