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Viborg crestViborg
v
Aarhus crestAarhus

Superliga | Fri 14 Aug, 18:00

Viborg v Aarhus Stats

Data last updated: Thu 13 Aug 2026, 06:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Superliga clash features Viborg hosting Aarhus, both teams showing contrasting offensive and defensive profiles early in the season. Viborg has been cautious, scoring and conceding sparingly, while Aarhus displays a more open style with higher goal involvement and BTTS frequency. The tactical setup suggests a game with active wing play and set-piece opportunities, increasing corner potential. Both sides rank mid-table, adding competitive edge but limited pressure, making this a contest likely to see sustained flank attacks and multiple corner situations.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Viborg averages 5.67 corners per game, Aarhus 6.0, combining for over 11 corners on average.
  • Recent form shows Aarhus with 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate and 100% BTTS, indicating open play.
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with a positive of 13.4%.
  • Both teams generate significant shot volume, supporting attacking pressure and corner likelihood.
  • Player data highlights key midfielders and attackers who frequently create wide chances and draw fouls, increasing corner opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% probability, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating clear value. Both Viborg and Aarhus average nearly six corners per match, supported by their attacking tendencies and shot volumes. Aarhus's open play style and Viborg's wing activity contribute to sustained pressure and frequent set-piece situations. The rating of 84% reflects consistent corner generation patterns, making this a strong statistical angle for bettors.

Average Corners per GameViborg 5.67, Aarhus 6.0
Strong positive
Model Probability vs Market69% vs 55.6% implied
Strong positive
Shot VolumeViborg 13.67, Aarhus 10.5 shots per game
Positive
BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals RatesAarhus 100% BTTS, 50% Over 2.5
Positive
Confidence Level84%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with active wing play and frequent attacking transitions, leading to numerous corner situations. Viborg and Aarhus both generate solid corner counts historically, and their current form supports sustained pressure on the flanks. This bet capitalizes on the teams' attacking styles and set-piece involvement, making Over 9.5 Corners a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count here is driven by both teams' tendencies to attack down the wings and create set-piece chances. Viborg's and Aarhus's combined average corners suggest a lively match in terms of flank pressure and ball delivery into the box.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Viborg averages 5.67 corners per game, Aarhus 6.0, combining for over 11 corners on average.

Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with a positive of 13.4%.

Both teams generate significant shot volume, supporting attacking pressure and corner likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 3.5, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, it indirectly supports the corner market by highlighting the tempo and offensive transitions likely to produce multiple corners in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Viborg0.33
Avg goals scored
Aarhus1.5
Viborg0.33
Avg goals conceded
Aarhus1.5
Viborg0%
BTTS rate
Aarhus100%
Viborg0%
Over 2.5 goals
Aarhus50%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 23%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Aarhus's 100% BTTS rate and 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate indicate open, attacking matches that often lead to sustained pressure and set-piece situations. Viborg's lower scoring but active wing play complements this, suggesting a game with multiple goal attempts and corner opportunities arising from attacking phases.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Aarhus to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Aarhus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Viborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Viborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with a of 69%, significantly higher than the 55.6% implied by of 1.8. This positive suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners, likely due to both teams' attacking styles and average corner counts, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Viborg5.67
Avg corners for
Aarhus6
Viborg13
Avg total corners
Aarhus11
Viborg1.67
Avg yellow cards
Aarhus2
Viborg13.67
Avg shots
Aarhus10.5
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams maintain high average shots per game (Viborg 13.67, Aarhus 10.5) and corners (5.67 and 6 respectively), reflecting sustained offensive pressure. The moderate card averages indicate a competitive but not overly aggressive match, supporting continuous play and corner generation through fouls and wide attacks.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Viborg

DLW
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
07 Aug 2026A Sonderjyske0-0
02 Aug 2026A Brondby0-1
24 Jul 2026H Odense1-0

Aarhus

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
01 Aug 2026A Lyngby2-2
25 Jul 2026H Brondby1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 56% · edge +8.3 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Aarhus to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Aarhus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Viborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Viborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form data shows Viborg with a low Over 2.5 Goals rate but consistent corner generation, while Aarhus combines higher goal involvement with strong BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals rates. This contrast suggests Aarhus's open play will drive corner opportunities, supported by Viborg's steady flank pressure, reinforcing the Over 9.5 Corners angle.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Viborg wins
3Draws
6Aarhus wins
27 Jun 2026Aarhus v Viborg1-1
17 May 2026Aarhus v Viborg6-2
06 Apr 2026Viborg v Aarhus1-2
22 Feb 2026Aarhus v Viborg5-2
14 Sep 2025Viborg v Aarhus1-2
09 Mar 2025Aarhus v Viborg1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -2.7 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Aarhus to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Viborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The ten previous meetings between Viborg and Aarhus have averaged 3.5 goals per game, reflecting open contests with attacking momentum. While goal data is not a direct corner indicator, the offensive nature of these encounters suggests frequent attacking phases and set-piece opportunities, lending indirect support to the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Superliga

Viborg3
Played
Aarhus2
Viborg0.3
Avg goals for
Aarhus1.5
Viborg0.3
Avg goals against
Aarhus1.5
Viborg2
Clean sheets
Aarhus0
Best odds for this sectionAarhus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 36% vs implied 29% · edge +6.9 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Aarhus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Viborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Viborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Season-long corner averages for Viborg (5.67) and Aarhus (6.0) confirm both teams consistently generate corners above the 9.5 threshold combined. Their attacking and defensive patterns support frequent wide plays and set-piece situations, underpinning the statistical basis for the corner market selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Viborg431110
9Aarhus220200
Mid-table standings for Viborg (6th) and Aarhus (9th) imply moderate pressure to secure points but no extreme tactical conservatism. This competitive balance encourages open play and attacking intent, which typically results in increased corner counts as both teams seek to exploit wing areas and set-piece opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Viborg Over 2.5
50%Aarhus Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 3.5, indicating open games with attacking intent. While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, it indirectly supports the corner market by highlighting the tempo and offensive transitions likely to produce multiple corners in this fixture.

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