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Vasteras SK FK crestVasteras SK FK
v
Degerfors IF crestDegerfors IF

Allsvenskan | Sun 12 Jul, 13:00

Vasteras SK FK v Degerfors IF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 04:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vasteras SK FK hosts Degerfors IF in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where both teams seek to improve their mid-table standing. Vasteras SK FK arrives with better recent form, collecting 7 points in their last matches compared to Degerfors IF's 2 points. The home side's attack has shown more potency, averaging 2.2 goals per game, while Degerfors IF struggles to find the net consistently. Tactical discipline and home advantage position Vasteras SK FK as favorites, though Degerfors IF's resilience and defensive organization could pose challenges in this competitive fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Vasteras SK FK to Win

  • Vasteras SK FK holds a 73.1% to win, reflecting strong in home victory.
  • Recent form favors Vasteras SK FK with 7 points gained versus Degerfors IF's 2 points in recent matches.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating potential for an open game.
  • Vasteras SK FK averages 13.8 shots per game with 4.6 on target, showing offensive pressure.
  • Degerfors IF ranks lower in the league and has a higher average of yellow cards, suggesting possible discipline issues.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Vasteras SK FK to win based on superior recent form, stronger offensive output, and home advantage. Vasteras SK FK's average of 2.2 goals per game and higher shot volume underline their attacking edge. Degerfors IF's struggles in scoring and lower points tally reinforce the likelihood of a home victory. No price warnings apply, and data quality is solid for both teams, supporting in this selection.

Recent FormVasteras SK FK 7 points vs Degerfors IF 2 points
Strong positive
Offensive OutputVasteras SK FK 2.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Defensive StabilityBoth teams concede 2 goals per game
Neutral
Home AdvantageVasteras SK FK playing at home
Positive
DisciplineDegerfors IF averages 1.2 yellow cards per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Vasteras SK FK's recent form and attacking statistics make them the clear favorites in this Allsvenskan fixture. Their ability to generate more shots and goals, combined with home advantage, suggests they can secure the win. Degerfors IF's lower league position and limited recent points reduce their chances of an upset.

Main risk

The main risk lies in Degerfors IF's potential to disrupt play through fouls and defensive resilience, which could limit Vasteras SK FK's scoring opportunities.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Vasteras SK FK's offensive dynamism and home presence create a strong foundation for victory, while Degerfors IF's defensive discipline may slow the game but is unlikely to prevent a home win.”

Key Data Signals

Vasteras SK FK to Win evidence

Vasteras SK FK holds a 73.1% to win, reflecting strong in home victory.

Recent form favors Vasteras SK FK with 7 points gained versus Degerfors IF's 2 points in recent matches.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating potential for an open game.

Vasteras SK FK averages 13.8 shots per game with 4.6 on target, showing offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Vasteras SK FK to Win notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 3.11, indicating a history of open, attacking matches.
  • Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates at 60% support the likelihood of a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vasteras SK FK2.2
Avg goals scored
Degerfors IF1
Vasteras SK FK2
Avg goals conceded
Degerfors IF2
Vasteras SK FK80%
BTTS rate
Degerfors IF80%
Vasteras SK FK60%
Over 2.5 goals
Degerfors IF60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting an open game with scoring from both sides is likely. Vasteras SK FK's higher goals per game supports the potential for multiple goals in this fixture.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVasteras SK FK to WinBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 50% · edge +23.1 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The current market reflects a strong in Vasteras SK FK's chances, aligning well with the model's 73.1% win probability. The appear fair with no significant , indicating a standard staking approach is appropriate.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Vasteras SK FK5
Avg corners for
Degerfors IF4.8
Vasteras SK FK8.4
Avg total corners
Degerfors IF10
Vasteras SK FK0.8
Avg yellow cards
Degerfors IF1.2
Vasteras SK FK13.8
Avg shots
Degerfors IF13
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Vasteras SK FK averages slightly more corners and shots than Degerfors IF, indicating territorial advantage and offensive pressure. Degerfors IF's higher yellow card average points to a more physical approach, which could disrupt play and lead to set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vasteras SK FK

WLWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
04 Jul 2026A Halmstad3-1
31 May 2026H IFK Goteborg4-5
24 May 2026A Malmo FF3-2
17 May 2026H AIK Stockholm1-1
09 May 2026H Gais0-1

Degerfors IF

LDLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
04 Jul 2026H Malmo FF0-1
31 May 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-2
23 May 2026A Kalmar FF1-2
16 May 2026A Gais1-1
09 May 2026H Mjallby AIF1-4
Market aligned with main pickVasteras SK FK to WinBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 50% · edge +23.1 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Vasteras SK FK's recent form shows a clear upward trajectory with 7 points gained, reflecting improved attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Degerfors IF's 2 points indicate struggles in converting chances and maintaining consistency, reinforcing the home side's advantage.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Vasteras SK FK wins
2Draws
5Degerfors IF wins
14 Feb 2026Vasteras SK FK v Degerfors IF0-1
08 Mar 2025Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK1-0
15 Jul 2024Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK3-1
26 Mar 2024Vasteras SK FK v Degerfors IF0-0
14 Mar 2021Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK3-4
05 Oct 2020Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK4-1
Market aligned with main pickVasteras SK FK to WinBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 50% · edge +23.1 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The nine previous encounters between these teams have produced an average of 3.11 goals per game, suggesting a tendency for open and competitive matches. This historical data moderately supports expectations of an attacking game but is less decisive on the outright winner.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Vasteras SK FK11
Played
Degerfors IF11
Vasteras SK FK1.8
Avg goals for
Degerfors IF1.1
Vasteras SK FK2.1
Avg goals against
Degerfors IF1.5
Vasteras SK FK1
Clean sheets
Degerfors IF1
Market aligned with main pickVasteras SK FK to WinBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 50% · edge +23.1 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over the season, Vasteras SK FK has demonstrated stronger offensive capabilities, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Degerfors IF's 1.0. Both teams concede around 2 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to an open match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Vasteras SK FK1511434-3
13Degerfors IF1011245-5
Vasteras SK FK sits 10th with 15 points, comfortably above Degerfors IF in 13th with 10 points. While neither team is in immediate relegation danger, the home side's better position adds psychological and tactical heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Vasteras SK FK Over 2.5
60%Degerfors IF Over 2.5
3.11H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 3.11, indicating a history of open, attacking matches. Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates at 60% support the likelihood of a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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