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Valerenga crestValerenga
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Ham-Kam crestHam-Kam

Eliteserien | Fri 31 Jul, 18:00

Valerenga v Ham-Kam Stats

Data last updated: Thu 30 Jul 2026, 04:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Valerenga hosts Ham-Kam in this Eliteserien clash with both sides eager to climb the table. Valerenga has shown stronger recent form, collecting 9 points in their last fixtures compared to Ham-Kam's 2 points. The home side's attacking play is more potent, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Ham-Kam struggles with just 1 goal per match. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, but Valerenga's ability to create more chances and maintain pressure at home gives them a tactical edge in this contest.

BT4Y best bet

Valerenga to Win

  • Valerenga has earned 9 points recently, Ham-Kam only 2
  • Valerenga averages 18.4 shots per game versus Ham-Kam's 9.4
  • Both teams have 60% BTTS rate, indicating goal threats at both ends
  • Valerenga ranks 7th with 20 points, slightly ahead of Ham-Kam's 10th place and 18 points
  • Valerenga's Over 2.5 Goals rate is 80%, matching Ham-Kam's, suggesting open games

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74% chance for Valerenga to win, reflecting their superior recent form and stronger attacking output. Valerenga's average of 18.4 shots per game and higher goal scoring rate underpin this . Ham-Kam's struggles to score and lower shot volume reduce their chances. The home advantage and slightly better league position further support Valerenga's likelihood to secure victory. No price warnings apply, making this a straightforward selection based on data and football context.

Recent formValerenga 9 points vs Ham-Kam 2 points
Strong positive
Shots and attacking pressureValerenga 18.4 avg shots vs Ham-Kam 9.4
Strong positive
Goal scoring ratesValerenga 2.4 goals/game vs Ham-Kam 1.0
Strong positive
League positionValerenga 7th vs Ham-Kam 10th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Valerenga's recent momentum and superior attacking statistics make them the clear favorite to win this match. Their ability to generate more shots and goals, combined with home advantage, should see them control the game against a Ham-Kam side struggling for form and goals.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Valerenga's control in chance creation and recent points haul strongly favor them in this fixture, while Ham-Kam's low scoring output and weaker form suggest they will struggle to keep pace.”

Key Data Signals

Valerenga to Win evidence

Valerenga has earned 9 points recently, Ham-Kam only 2

Valerenga averages 18.4 shots per game versus Ham-Kam's 9.4

Both teams have 60% BTTS rate, indicating goal threats at both ends

Valerenga ranks 7th with 20 points, slightly ahead of Ham-Kam's 10th place and 18 points

What To Watch In The Data

Valerenga to Win notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.56, supporting the trend for over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams' recent matches also show high scoring rates, suggesting an open, attacking encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Valerenga6.6
Avg corners for
Ham-Kam3.2
Valerenga13
Avg total corners
Ham-Kam9.4
Valerenga1.2
Avg yellow cards
Ham-Kam1.2
Valerenga18.4
Avg shots
Ham-Kam9.4

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Valerenga2.4
Avg goals scored
Ham-Kam1
Valerenga2
Avg goals conceded
Ham-Kam2.4
Valerenga60%
BTTS rate
Ham-Kam60%
Valerenga80%
Over 2.5 goals
Ham-Kam80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +7.9 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate and an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating this fixture is likely to see goals at both ends. Valerenga's higher scoring average and Ham-Kam's defensive frailties suggest an open game with multiple goal opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Valerenga to Win is supported by a strong of 74%, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking metrics. The lack of price warnings indicates this is a fair market price rather than a value bet, suggesting bettors should consider standard stakes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Valerenga

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
26 Jul 2026A Brann3-2
16 Jul 2026H Aalesund6-1
11 Jul 2026A Tromso0-4
29 May 2026H Kristiansund BK3-1
25 May 2026A Start0-2

Ham-Kam

LLLDD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
26 Jul 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF0-1
22 Jul 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-3
18 Jul 2026H Tromso1-4
12 Jul 2026A Sandefjord2-2
29 May 2026A Aalesund2-2
Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Valerenga's recent form shows 9 points gained with a strong goal-scoring record, contrasting with Ham-Kam's 2 points and lower offensive output. This momentum difference underlines Valerenga's and tactical efficiency heading into the match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Valerenga wins
4Draws
3Ham-Kam wins
08 May 2026Ham-Kam v Valerenga1-0
19 Oct 2025Ham-Kam v Valerenga2-1
16 May 2025Valerenga v Ham-Kam1-1
08 May 2024Valerenga v Ham-Kam2-2
26 Nov 2023Ham-Kam v Valerenga0-2
16 May 2023Valerenga v Ham-Kam3-0
Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The nine previous meetings between Valerenga and Ham-Kam have averaged 2.56 goals per game, indicating a moderately high-scoring rivalry. This history supports expectations of an open game but does not heavily favor either side, making current form and home advantage more decisive.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Valerenga14
Played
Ham-Kam14
Valerenga1.6
Avg goals for
Ham-Kam1.4
Valerenga1.7
Avg goals against
Ham-Kam1.9
Valerenga2
Clean sheets
Ham-Kam3
Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Valerenga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over the season, Valerenga has maintained a higher goals-for average (2.4) and a better defensive record than Ham-Kam, who concede more and score less. This balance favors Valerenga's ability to control the match tempo and convert chances into goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Valerenga2014626-2
10Ham-Kam1814536-6
Valerenga sits 7th with 20 points, slightly ahead of Ham-Kam in 10th with 18 points. While the gap is narrow, Valerenga's position reflects steadier form and greater consistency, adding psychological and competitive pressure on Ham-Kam.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Valerenga Over 2.5
80%Ham-Kam Over 2.5
2.56H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.56, supporting the trend for over 2.5 goals. Both teams' recent matches also show high scoring rates, suggesting an open, attacking encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.