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Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt
v
Lillestrom crestLillestrom

Eliteserien | Fri 31 Jul, 20:00

Bodo/Glimt v Lillestrom Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 03:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bodo/Glimt face Lillestrom in Eliteserien on Fri 31 Jul, 20:00. The leaders have scored 37 goals and conceded only 11 in 15 league games, giving them both the division’s best attack and best defence.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score NO

  • At 11/10, Both Teams To Score NO implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Lillestrom’s recurring defensive lapses invite Bodo/Glimt to attack with .
  • Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Lillestrom.
  • Bodo/Glimt sit 1 in the table, while Lillestrom sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Both Teams To Score NO sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Lillestrom. Lillestrom’s recurring defensive lapses invite Bodo/Glimt to attack with .

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bodo/Glimt sit 1 in the table, while Lillestrom sit 5.Visible data support
Positive
Lillestrom’s recurring defensive lapses invite Bodo/Glimt to attack.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bodo/Glimt Win is the preferred angle because lillestrom’s recurring defensive lapses invite Bodo/Glimt to attack with . Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Lillestrom. Lillestrom carry the stronger scoring threat, but Bodo/Glimt must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Lillestrom carry the stronger scoring threat, but Bodo/Glimt must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score NO evidence

Lillestrom’s recurring defensive lapses invite Bodo/Glimt to attack with .

Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Lillestrom.

Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Bodo/Glimt Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bodo/Glimt sit 1 in the table, while Lillestrom sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score NO notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bodo/Glimt7.6
    Avg corners for
    Lillestrom5.6
    Bodo/Glimt9.4
    Avg total corners
    Lillestrom11.2
    Bodo/Glimt0.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Lillestrom1.2
    Bodo/Glimt17
    Avg shots
    Lillestrom11.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bodo/Glimt2.2
    Avg goals scored
    Lillestrom1.2
    Bodo/Glimt0.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Lillestrom1.4
    Bodo/Glimt20%
    BTTS rate
    Lillestrom60%
    Bodo/Glimt60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Lillestrom60%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 29% · edge +10 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 83%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.15
    Check odds @ 1.15
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Bodo/Glimt to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bodo/Glimt

    WWWWD
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 1D 1L
    26 Jul 2026A Sandefjord3-0
    22 Jul 2026H Ham-Kam3-0
    17 Jul 2026H Fredrikstad1-0
    12 Jul 2026A KFUM Oslo2-0
    29 May 2026A Rosenborg2-2

    Lillestrom

    LWWLL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 0D 5L
    22 Jul 2026H Viking1-2
    18 Jul 2026H KFUM Oslo2-1
    11 Jul 2026A Fredrikstad2-0
    25 May 2026A Ham-Kam0-2
    20 May 2026H Kristiansund BK1-2
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.15
    Check odds @ 1.15
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    7Bodo/Glimt wins
    1Draws
    2Lillestrom wins
    26 Apr 2026Lillestrom v Bodo/Glimt0-2
    22 Mar 2026Bodo/Glimt v Lillestrom4-0
    01 Dec 2024Bodo/Glimt v Lillestrom5-2
    01 May 2024Bodo/Glimt v Lillestrom2-4
    14 Apr 2024Lillestrom v Bodo/Glimt0-5
    30 Oct 2023Bodo/Glimt v Lillestrom3-1
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Bodo/Glimt to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Bodo/Glimt17
    Played
    Lillestrom17
    Bodo/Glimt2.5
    Avg goals for
    Lillestrom1.4
    Bodo/Glimt0.7
    Avg goals against
    Lillestrom1.2
    Bodo/Glimt10
    Clean sheets
    Lillestrom5
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.15
    Check odds @ 1.15
    Season data supports Bodo/Glimt to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Bodo/Glimt4117132231
    5Lillestrom26178272
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
    60%Lillestrom Over 2.5
    3.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bodo/Glimt sit at 60% and Lillestrom sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Bodo/Glimt v Lillestrom prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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