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Uzbekistan crestUzbekistan
v
Syria crestSyria

Friendlies | Thu 01 Oct, 15:00

Uzbekistan v Syria Stats

Data last updated: Wed 30 Sep 2026, 09:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between Uzbekistan and Syria offers an intriguing tactical battle as both sides seek to sharpen their attacking cohesion ahead of competitive fixtures. Uzbekistan arrives with a strong recent scoring record, while Syria has struggled for points but maintains a high rate of both teams scoring in their matches. The encounter promises open play with both teams likely to test defensive resilience, making goal-scoring opportunities a key feature. The match will also serve as a platform for emerging attacking talents to stake their claim in the starting line-ups.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Uzbekistan has scored in 80% of recent matches and concedes at a moderate rate, supporting goal exchanges.
  • Syria’s matches have featured both teams scoring 100% of the time, indicating offensive threat despite defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Uzbekistan averages 7 shots per game with 1.5 on target, showing active attacking intent.
  • Syria’s lower shot volume contrasts with their high BTTS rate, suggesting efficient finishing or defensive lapses.
  • Head-to-head meetings have averaged 1.17 goals, but recent form and attacking stats suggest a more open game this time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, driven by Uzbekistan’s strong attacking output and Syria’s consistent scoring record despite defensive frailties. Uzbekistan’s 80% BTTS rate and Syria’s perfect BTTS record in recent games underline the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price offers clear value with a 37.8% edge over the implied chance, reflecting the statistical and tactical signals favoring an open, goal-rich encounter. No data limitations reduce , making this a solid selection based on form and attacking patterns.

Uzbekistan BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Syria BTTS Rate100%
Strong positive
Model Chance57% model chance vs 42% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57% model chance vs 42% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge57% model chance vs 42% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Both Teams to Score pick reflects Uzbekistan’s proactive attacking style combined with Syria’s tendency to concede and score in friendlies. Uzbekistan’s higher shot volume and goal threat paired with Syria’s offensive persistence create a scenario ripe for goals at both ends, making this an appealing tactical and statistical choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Uzbekistan’s dynamic forward line and Syria’s open defensive approach set the stage for a match where both sides are likely to find the net. The statistical trends strongly support a BTTS outcome in this friendly encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Uzbekistan has scored in 80% of recent matches and concedes at a moderate rate, supporting goal exchanges.

Syria’s matches have featured both teams scoring 100% of the time, indicating offensive threat despite defensive vulnerabilities.

Uzbekistan averages 7 shots per game with 1.5 on target, showing active attacking intent.

Syria’s lower shot volume contrasts with their high BTTS rate, suggesting efficient finishing or defensive lapses.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Uzbekistan has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, while Syria sits at 50%.
  • The head-to-head average of 1.17 goals is low, but recent attacking form and open defensive setups suggest a higher tempo and goal frequency in this encounter, favoring Over 2.5 goals potential.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Uzbekistan2
Avg goals scored
Syria1
Uzbekistan1.8
Avg goals conceded
Syria2.5
Uzbekistan80%
BTTS rate
Syria100%
Uzbekistan80%
Over 2.5 goals
Syria50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Recent form data shows Uzbekistan scoring and conceding regularly, with an 80% BTTS rate, while Syria’s matches have featured both teams scoring in every game. This combination indicates a high probability of goals at both ends, supported by the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Syria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Uzbekistan to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Uzbekistan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Syria to WinBetUK guide price · model 15%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The 57% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Uzbekistan show a 80% BTTS rate and Syria show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Uzbekistan

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
24 Sep 2026H Iran3-1
08 Jun 2026A Netherlands1-2
02 Jun 2026A Canada0-2
30 Jan 2026H FC Urartu4-2
26 Jan 2026H China2-2

Syria

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
27 Sep 2026A Jordan1-1
05 Jun 2026A Belarus1-4
Best odds for this sectionSyria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 85%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.63
Check odds @ 2.63
Uzbekistan to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Uzbekistan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Syria to WinBetUK guide price · model 15%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Uzbekistan’s recent form includes 7 points with 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, showing balanced attacking and defensive performance. Syria has struggled with just 1 point and 1 goal scored, conceding 2.5 per match, but their matches consistently feature both teams scoring, highlighting a pattern of open play despite poor results.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Uzbekistan Over 2.5
50%Syria Over 2.5
1.17H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Uzbekistan has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, while Syria sits at 50%. The head-to-head average of 1.17 goals is low, but recent attacking form and open defensive setups suggest a higher tempo and goal frequency in this encounter, favoring Over 2.5 goals potential.

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