Union Berlin

Ipswich

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 15 Aug, 14:30

Union Berlin v Ipswich Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Union Berlin and Ipswich meet in a friendly fixture that offers both sides a chance to test attacking options ahead of their competitive seasons. Union Berlin has shown a strong inclination towards open play with a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Ipswich has also contributed to goal-rich encounters, albeit at a slightly lower frequency. Both teams are likely to experiment with offensive setups, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals in this encounter. The match promises an engaging tempo with attacking intent from both sides, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring game.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Union Berlin has an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.
Ipswich records a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating moderate goal involvement.
Union Berlin concedes 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
Ipswich concedes only 1 goal per game, but their attack averages 1.4 goals per match.
Both teams have contrasting BTTS rates, with Union Berlin at 100% and Ipswich at 40%. Potential for goals from both sides is mixed but leans towards scoring action.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 66.8% chance for over 2.5 goals, supported by Union Berlin's high scoring and conceding rates and Ipswich's moderate goal involvement. The 4.3% against the implied 62.5% chance suggests a favorable price for this market. The attacking tendencies and defensive openness of Union Berlin, combined with Ipswich's willingness to engage offensively in friendlies, underpin the expectation of a goal-rich match. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Union Berlin Over 2.5 Rate80%

Strong positive

Ipswich Over 2.5 Rate60%

Positive

Union Berlin Goals Against1.8 per game

Positive

Ipswich Goals For1.4 per game

Positive

Value Edge4.3%

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where Union Berlin's tendency to concede and score heavily combines with Ipswich's moderate offensive output. The match context and recent scoring rates suggest over 2.5 goals is a plausible outcome, reflecting the teams' offensive approaches and defensive openness in preparation mode.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Union Berlin's aggressive attacking style and Ipswich's willingness to test offensive options in friendlies set the stage for a lively game with multiple goals. The statistical trends align well with an over 2.5 goals scenario in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Union Berlin has an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.

Ipswich records a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating moderate goal involvement.

Union Berlin concedes 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Ipswich concedes only 1 goal per game, but their attack averages 1.4 goals per match.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Recent trends over the last five matches show Union Berlin frequently involved in games exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking tempo and defensive gaps.
Ipswich's lower over 2.5 rate suggests some variability, but the combined attacking intent and friendly match context favor a goal-rich encounter.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Union Berlin1.6

Avg goals scored

Ipswich1.4

Union Berlin1.8

Avg goals conceded

Ipswich1

Union Berlin100%

BTTS rate

Ipswich40%

Union Berlin80%

Over 2.5 goals

Ipswich60%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 63% · edge +4.3 pts

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Union Berlin's 100% BTTS rate contrasts with Ipswich's 40%, highlighting a disparity in defensive solidity and scoring consistency. The high over 2.5 goals rates for both teams, especially Union Berlin's 80%, point to a match likely featuring multiple goals, though Ipswich's lower BTTS rate suggests some risk of one-sided scoring.

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Useful next reads

Union Berlin v Ipswich prediction player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 63% · edge +4.3 pts

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Ipswich Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Ipswich to WinBetUK guide price · model 60%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Union Berlin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.6 with an implied chance of 62.5%, while the model estimates a 66.8% probability, indicating a small positive . This suggests the market offers a slightly favorable price for backing a high-scoring game, supported by the teams' attacking profiles and defensive records.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Union Berlin

WDLLD

Last 51W 2D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 3D 3L

09 Aug 2026H Aris3-2

02 Aug 2026H Cagliari2-2

01 Aug 2026A Dynamo Dresden1-2

18 Jul 2026A FC Aarau1-2

17 Jul 2026A FC Winterthur1-1

Ipswich

WWWLL

Last 53W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 0D 2L

08 Aug 2026H Rayo Vallecano3-0

04 Aug 2026H Le Havre1-0

01 Aug 2026A Wycombe2-1

01 Aug 2026A Oxford United0-2

29 Jul 2026H Osasuna1-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 75% · edge +8.8 pts

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

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Ipswich Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Ipswich to WinBetUK guide price · model 60%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Union Berlin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Union Berlin to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Recent form shows Union Berlin averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with 80% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Ipswich averages 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded, with a 60% over 2.5 rate. These figures reflect a tendency towards matches with multiple goals, supporting the over 2.5 selection.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Union Berlin wins

0Draws

0Ipswich wins

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 63% · edge +4.3 pts

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Ipswich to WinBetUK guide price · model 60%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Union Berlin to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

No previous meetings exist between Union Berlin and Ipswich, removing historical head-to-head data from consideration. This absence places greater emphasis on current form, tactical approaches, and season statistics to assess the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Union Berlin10

Played

Ipswich6

Union Berlin2.5

Avg goals for

Ipswich1.8

Union Berlin1.9

Avg goals against

Ipswich1.2

Union Berlin0

Clean sheets

Ipswich2

Best odds for this sectionIpswich Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +10.6 pts

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

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Ipswich to WinBetUK guide price · model 60%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Union Berlin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Union Berlin to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Season-long statistics reveal Union Berlin's attack and defense contribute to high-scoring games, with a notable 80% over 2.5 goals rate. Ipswich's more balanced defensive record and moderate scoring rate create a scenario where goals are likely but potentially less frequent, aligning with the over 2.5 goals market.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Union Berlin Over 2.5

60%Ipswich Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Recent trends over the last five matches show Union Berlin frequently involved in games exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking tempo and defensive gaps. Ipswich's lower over 2.5 rate suggests some variability, but the combined attacking intent and friendly match context favor a goal-rich encounter.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Union Berlin v Ipswich Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Union Berlin

Ipswich

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Football Stats Hub

Union Berlin v Ipswich Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Union Berlin

Ipswich

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