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Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin
v
Aris crestAris

Friendlies Clubs | Sun 09 Aug, 14:30

Union Berlin v Aris Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Union Berlin face Aris in Friendlies Clubs on Sun 09 Aug, 14:30. Union Berlin come in with 2 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Aris have 3 points and 0.67 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Union Berlin and 0% for Aris, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Aris at 0.67.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Union Berlin and 0% for Aris show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 66% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Union Berlin and 0% for Aris, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Union Berlin.Visible data support
Positive
Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Aris at 0.67. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Aris at 0.67.

BTTS rates of 80% for Union Berlin and 0% for Aris show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Union Berlin1
Avg goals scored
Aris0.67
Union Berlin1.8
Avg goals conceded
Aris0.67
Union Berlin80%
BTTS rate
Aris0%
Union Berlin60%
Over 2.5 goals
Aris0%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Union Berlin

DLLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
02 Aug 2026H Cagliari2-2
01 Aug 2026A Dynamo Dresden1-2
18 Jul 2026A FC Aarau1-2
17 Jul 2026A FC Winterthur1-1
12 Jul 2026A FC Carl Zeiss Jena0-2

Aris

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
30 Jul 2026A Atromitos0-1
26 Jul 2026A Korona Kielce0-1
18 Jul 2026A Legia Warszawa2-0

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Union Berlin wins
0Draws
0Aris wins

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Union Berlin9
Played
Aris4
Union Berlin2.6
Avg goals for
Aris1
Union Berlin1.7
Avg goals against
Aris1.3
Union Berlin0
Clean sheets
Aris1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Union Berlin Over 2.5
0%Aris Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Union Berlin sit at 60% and Aris sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.