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Ukraine U19 crestUkraine U19
v
Germany U19 crestGermany U19

UEFA U19 Championship | Wed 08 Jul, 19:00

Ukraine U19 v Germany U19 Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 05:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ukraine U19 face Germany U19 in UEFA U19 Championship on Wed 08 Jul, 19:00. Ukraine's perfect group record and solid structure keep single-goal margins or tight deadlocks as the central focal point.

BT4Y best bet

Of Over 2

  • At 4.1, Ukraine U19 Win implies roughly 24%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • This is where Ukraine’s patience becomes more than just a defensive trait.
  • Ukraine U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Germany U19.
  • Ukraine U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Ukraine U19 Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Ukraine U19 Win sits against roughly 24% implied by the current price. Ukraine U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Germany U19. This is where Ukraine’s patience becomes more than just a defensive trait.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 24% implied
Strong positive
Ukraine U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Ukraine U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
This is where Ukraine’s patience becomes more than just.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Ukraine U19 Win is the preferred angle because this is where Ukraine’s patience becomes more than just a defensive trait. Ukraine U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Germany U19. Ukraine, meanwhile, have taken the quieter but arguably more impressive route.

Main risk

Ukraine, meanwhile, have taken the quieter but arguably more impressive route.

Key Data Signals

Ukraine U19 Win evidence

This is where Ukraine’s patience becomes more than just a defensive trait.

Ukraine U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Germany U19.

Ukraine U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Ukraine U19 Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Ukraine U19 Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Ukraine U192
    Avg goals scored
    Germany U192.67
    Ukraine U190.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Germany U192.33
    Ukraine U1967%
    BTTS rate
    Germany U1933%
    Ukraine U1967%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Germany U19100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 59% · edge +19.2 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickUkraine U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 24% · edge +34.5 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Ukraine U19 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Ukraine U19 to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    UEFA U19 Championship hubrelated match predictionplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Ukraine U19

    WWW
    Last 53W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 0L
    05 Jul 2026H Italy U191-0
    02 Jul 2026A Serbia U192-1
    29 Jun 2026A Croatia U193-1

    Germany U19

    LWW
    Last 52W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 1L
    04 Jul 2026A Spain U190-4
    01 Jul 2026A Wales U194-0
    28 Jun 2026H Denmark U194-3
    Market aligned with main pickUkraine U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 24% · edge +34.5 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Ukraine U19 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Ukraine U19 wins
    0Draws
    0Germany U19 wins
    Market aligned with main pickUkraine U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 24% · edge +34.5 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Ukraine U19 to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    UEFA U19 Championship

    Ukraine U193
    Played
    Germany U193
    Ukraine U192
    Avg goals for
    Germany U192.7
    Ukraine U190.7
    Avg goals against
    Germany U192.3
    Ukraine U191
    Clean sheets
    Germany U191
    Market aligned with main pickUkraine U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 24% · edge +34.5 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Ukraine U19 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Season data supports Ukraine U19 to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Ukraine U19 Over 2.5
    100%Germany U19 Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ukraine U19 sit at 67% and Germany U19 sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Ukraine U19 v Germany U19 prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre