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Udinese crestUdinese
v
Lazio crestLazio

Serie A | Mon 07 Sep, 19:45

Udinese v Lazio Stats

Data last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026, 04:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Udinese face Lazio in Serie A on Mon 07 Sep, 19:45. Udinese and Lazio arrive at Monday night’s Serie A meeting at the Dacia Arena with unbeaten league records but very different early-season profiles.

BT4Y best bet

Credible despite Lazio’s low-tempo 1-0 wins

  • At 20/23, Credible despite Lazio’s low-tempo 1-0 wins implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Udinese show a 100% BTTS rate and Lazio show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Udinese average 2 goals scored and Lazio average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Credible despite Lazio’s low-tempo 1-0 wins sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Udinese show a 100% BTTS rate and Lazio show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
Udinese show a 100% BTTS rate and Lazio show a.Visible data support
Positive
Udinese average 2 goals scored and Lazio average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Udinese show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Lazio show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Udinese have looked more open, but also carry threats from several areas rather than relying on one source.

Main risk

Udinese have looked more open, but also carry threats from several areas rather than relying on one source.

Key Data Signals

Credible despite Lazio’s low-tempo 1-0 wins evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Udinese show a 100% BTTS rate and Lazio show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Udinese average 2 goals scored and Lazio average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Credible despite Lazio’s low-tempo 1-0 wins notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Udinese2
Avg goals scored
Lazio1
Udinese1.5
Avg goals conceded
Lazio0
Udinese100%
BTTS rate
Lazio0%
Udinese50%
Over 2.5 goals
Lazio0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Lazio Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Lazio to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Udinese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Udinese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Udinese v Laziocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Udinese

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
29 Aug 2026A Monza3-2
22 Aug 2026H Como1-1

Lazio

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
30 Aug 2026H Genoa1-0
24 Aug 2026A Bologna1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 71% · edge -3.7 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Lazio Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Lazio to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Udinese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Udinese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Udinese Over 2.5
0%Lazio Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Udinese sit at 50% and Lazio sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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