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U.N.A.M. - Pumas crestU.N.A.M. - Pumas
v
Atletico San Luis crestAtletico San Luis

Liga MX | Sun 27 Sep, 19:00

U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Atletico San Luis Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

- Pumas and Atletico San Luis meet in a Liga MX clash where both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score regularly this season. Pumas have struggled defensively at times but maintain a solid attacking threat, while Atletico San Luis also display attacking intent despite defensive vulnerabilities. Recent form data shows both sides scoring in 60% of their matches, setting the stage for an open game with chances at both ends. Tactical balance and offensive ambition suggest a lively encounter with goals expected from both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • - Pumas average 14.4 shots per game with 4.2 on target, showing attacking activity.
  • Atletico San Luis average 12.2 shots per game with 4.4 on target, reflecting offensive presence.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.5 goals, supporting a goal-rich game.
  • Both teams concede around 1.6 goals per game, highlighting defensive openness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 73.3% chance of both teams scoring, well above the market's implied 61.7%, indicating strong value. Both sides have consistent attacking output and defensive lapses, with each averaging over 1 goal scored and conceded per game. The head-to-head average of 3.5 goals further supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. This combination of attacking intent and defensive vulnerability underpins the in BTTS for this fixture.

Model Chance73.3% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+11.6 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance73.3% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+11.6 pts)
Positive
Both Teams BTTS Rate60% each
Strong positive
Average Goals in H2H3.5 goals per match
Positive
Shots on Target per Game4.2 (Pumas), 4.4 (San Luis)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

- Pumas and Atletico San Luis have shown attacking ambition but also defensive fragility, making both teams to score a logical outcome. The data highlights consistent goal involvement from key attackers and a history of open matches between these sides, supporting an expectation of goals at both ends in this Liga MX fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“This matchup features two sides with clear offensive intent but defensive vulnerabilities, creating a fertile ground for both teams to find the net. The statistical profile and recent trends strongly back a BTTS outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

- Pumas average 14.4 shots per game with 4.2 on target, showing attacking activity.

Atletico San Luis average 12.2 shots per game with 4.4 on target, reflecting offensive presence.

Head-to-head matches average 3.5 goals, supporting a goal-rich game.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.5 per match, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games.
  • This suggests a tempo and style favoring open play and goal opportunities for both teams, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1
Avg goals scored
Atletico San Luis1.4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.6
Avg goals conceded
Atletico San Luis1.6
U.N.A.M. - Pumas60%
BTTS rate
Atletico San Luis60%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas40%
Over 2.5 goals
Atletico San Luis60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have scored in 60% of their matches this season, reflecting consistent offensive output. The average goals per game in their head-to-head meetings is 3.5, indicating open contests with multiple goals. This fixture is likely to follow that pattern, with both sides capable of scoring and conceding, reinforcing the BTTS angle.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Atletico San Luis Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Atletico San Luis to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to WinBetUK guide price · model 32%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+11.6 pts). - Pumas show a 60% BTTS rate and Atletico San Luis show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

DLWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
20 Sep 2026A Atlas1-1
14 Sep 2026A Guadalajara Chivas0-3
11 Sep 2026H Leon3-1
29 Aug 2026A Club Tijuana0-2
24 Aug 2026H Necaxa1-1

Atletico San Luis

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 4L
20 Sep 2026H Necaxa3-1
15 Sep 2026A Leon0-2
06 Sep 2026H Guadalajara Chivas0-3
31 Aug 2026A Monterrey3-1
24 Aug 2026H CF Pachuca1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Atletico San Luis Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Atletico San Luis to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to WinBetUK guide price · model 32%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form shows both teams scoring in 60% of their matches, with Pumas earning 5 points and San Luis 7 in their last fixtures. Both sides concede around 1.6 goals per game, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities. This recent data aligns with the BTTS market, suggesting ongoing patterns of mutual scoring and open play.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%U.N.A.M. - Pumas Over 2.5
60%Atletico San Luis Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.5 per match, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games. This suggests a tempo and style favoring open play and goal opportunities for both teams, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.

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