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Türkiye crestTürkiye
v
FYR Macedonia crestFYR Macedonia

Friendlies | Mon 01 Jun, 17:30

Türkiye v FYR Macedonia Stats

Data last updated: Sun 31 May 2026, 11:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Türkiye enters this friendly against FYR Macedonia on the back of an unbeaten six-match streak, including five wins, showcasing strong defensive organization with three clean sheets in their last four games. Despite missing key creative players Kenan Yildiz and Hakan Calhanoglu, Türkiye's attacking options like Kerem Akturkoglu and Arda Guler provide quality service and goal threat. FYR Macedonia arrives winless in seven matches, struggling offensively with four blanks in their last five, but maintaining defensive discipline under Goce Sedloski. This clash features Türkiye aiming to sharpen their World Cup preparations against a resilient, defensive-minded opponent.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Türkiye to Win

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 82%, above the 35% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Türkiye unbeaten in last 6 matches with 5 wins and strong defensive record
  • FYR Macedonia winless in 7 games, failing to score in 4 of last 5
  • Türkiye recorded 3 clean sheets in last 4 fixtures, conceding only 4 goals in 6 games
  • Key attackers like Kerem Akturkoglu lead Türkiye's offense despite injuries
Price warning

Türkiye to Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 82% while the model sits nearer 35% (-47.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: FYR Macedonia Draw No Bet shows a +43.4 pts edge at 6.4.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

Türkiye's unbeaten run and defensive solidity underpin the in their victory. Their ability to control matches and limit chances, combined with FYR Macedonia's ongoing scoring drought, supports a home win. However, the current are shorter than the model's chance, indicating a price-sensitive selection rather than clear value. Reduced staking or waiting for improvement is advised. The thinner data sample for Türkiye means defensive trends and team news remain crucial for final assessment.

Türkiye recent formUnbeaten in 6, 5 wins, strong defensive cohesion
Strong positive
FYR Macedonia scoring formFailed to score in 4 of last 5 matches
Strong positive
Defensive recordsTürkiye 3 clean sheets in last 4; FYR Macedonia solid but less effective offensively
Positive
Price sensitivityOdds shorter than model chance, value edge negative
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Türkiye's consistent unbeaten run and defensive discipline make them the clear favorite to win this friendly. Their ability to control possession and limit FYR Macedonia's limited attacking threat provides a strong tactical and statistical foundation for victory. The match will test Türkiye's readiness ahead of the World Cup, with their momentum and squad depth key factors.

Main risk

The main risk is the potential for defensive rotation in this friendly, which could disrupt Türkiye's defensive stability and allow FYR Macedonia to score, negating the clean sheet aspect and affecting the match outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical readiness

“Türkiye's blend of defensive resilience and attacking efficiency positions them strongly against a Macedonian side struggling to find the net. Their recent narrow wins reflect tactical maturity essential for tournament success.”

Key Data Signals

Türkiye to Win evidence

Türkiye unbeaten in last 6 matches with 5 wins and strong defensive record

FYR Macedonia winless in 7 games, failing to score in 4 of last 5

Türkiye recorded 3 clean sheets in last 4 fixtures, conceding only 4 goals in 6 games

Key attackers like Kerem Akturkoglu lead Türkiye's offense despite injuries

What To Watch In The Data

Türkiye to Win notes

  • Over the last six matches, Türkiye averages over two goals per game, indicating attacking potency.
  • FYR Macedonia's recent matches have been low scoring, with multiple clean sheets and goalless draws.
  • This trend suggests a tactical battle with potential for a controlled tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities, favoring under 2.5 goals outcomes.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTürkiye to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 82% · edge -47.4 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 32%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Türkiye Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
The market prices Türkiye at 2.1 (11/10), implying a 47.6% chance, which exceeds the model's 34.6% probability. This indicates the are short and caution is warranted. The football context supports Türkiye's win, but the price reflects strong market , suggesting reduced stakes or waiting for better would be prudent.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Türkiye-
Avg goals scored
FYR Macedonia0
Türkiye-
Avg goals conceded
FYR Macedonia0
Türkiye-
BTTS rate
FYR Macedonia0%
Türkiye-
Over 2.5 goals
FYR Macedonia0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 46% · edge +20.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 32%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Given Türkiye's three clean sheets in four recent matches and FYR Macedonia's failure to score in four of five games, the BTTS No and Under 3.5 Goals markets align with a low-scoring game expectation. Defensive discipline and cautious attacking approaches from both sides support a tight contest with limited goal opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Türkiye

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Türkiye yet.

FYR Macedonia

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
29 May 2026A Bosnia & Herzegovina0-0
31 Mar 2026A Rep. Of Ireland0-0
Market aligned with main pickTürkiye to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 82% · edge -47.4 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
Türkiye Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Türkiye's recent form is impressive, unbeaten in six with five wins, demonstrating consistency and defensive strength. FYR Macedonia's seven-match winless streak contrasts sharply, though their defensive resilience with three clean sheets in five games shows they remain competitive. This form disparity favors Türkiye's chances in this friendly encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Türkiye-
Avg corners for
FYR Macedonia1
Türkiye-
Avg total corners
FYR Macedonia6
Türkiye-
Avg yellow cards
FYR Macedonia1
Türkiye-
Avg shots
FYR Macedonia2.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 48% · edge -7.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
FYR Macedonia averages 2.5 shots and 1 corner per game, reflecting limited attacking pressure. Their average of 1 yellow card per match suggests moderate discipline. Türkiye's data is limited, but their recent defensive solidity implies control over territory and shot suppression, likely leading to fewer corners and cards against them.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Türkiye wins
1Draws
0FYR Macedonia wins
05 Jun 2017FYR Macedonia v Türkiye0-0
Market aligned with main pickTürkiye to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 82% · edge -47.4 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 32%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The single recent meeting between Türkiye and FYR Macedonia ended goalless, reflecting a tight contest historically. While limited, this suggests a competitive balance that could lead to a cautious approach. However, Türkiye's current form and home advantage provide a stronger edge in this fixture.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Türkiye0
Played
FYR Macedonia2
Türkiye0
Avg goals for
FYR Macedonia0
Türkiye0
Avg goals against
FYR Macedonia0
Türkiye0
Clean sheets
FYR Macedonia2
Market aligned with main pickTürkiye to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 82% · edge -47.4 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Türkiye Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Türkiye's season stats reveal a balanced profile with 16 goals scored and only 4 conceded in their last six matches, highlighting attacking efficiency and defensive stability. FYR Macedonia's struggles to score, with just one goal in five matches, underline their offensive limitations, reinforcing Türkiye's advantage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Türkiye Over 2.5
0%FYR Macedonia Over 2.5
0H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches, Türkiye averages over two goals per game, indicating attacking potency. FYR Macedonia's recent matches have been low scoring, with multiple clean sheets and goalless draws. This trend suggests a tactical battle with potential for a controlled tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities, favoring under 2.5 goals outcomes.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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