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Türkiye
FYR MacedoniaFriendlies | Mon 01 Jun, 17:30
Türkiye v FYR Macedonia Stats
Data last updated: Sun 31 May 2026, 11:00 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Türkiye enters this friendly against FYR Macedonia on the back of an unbeaten six-match streak, including five wins, showcasing strong defensive organization with three clean sheets in their last four games. Despite missing key creative players Kenan Yildiz and Hakan Calhanoglu, Türkiye's attacking options like Kerem Akturkoglu and Arda Guler provide quality service and goal threat. FYR Macedonia arrives winless in seven matches, struggling offensively with four blanks in their last five, but maintaining defensive discipline under Goce Sedloski. This clash features Türkiye aiming to sharpen their World Cup preparations against a resilient, defensive-minded opponent.
Türkiye to Win
- Price warning: current odds imply about 82%, above the 35% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
- Türkiye unbeaten in last 6 matches with 5 wins and strong defensive record
- FYR Macedonia winless in 7 games, failing to score in 4 of last 5
- Türkiye recorded 3 clean sheets in last 4 fixtures, conceding only 4 goals in 6 games
- Key attackers like Kerem Akturkoglu lead Türkiye's offense despite injuries
Türkiye to Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 82% while the model sits nearer 35% (-47.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: FYR Macedonia Draw No Bet shows a +43.4 pts edge at 6.4.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
Türkiye's unbeaten run and defensive solidity underpin the in their victory. Their ability to control matches and limit chances, combined with FYR Macedonia's ongoing scoring drought, supports a home win. However, the current are shorter than the model's chance, indicating a price-sensitive selection rather than clear value. Reduced staking or waiting for improvement is advised. The thinner data sample for Türkiye means defensive trends and team news remain crucial for final assessment.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Türkiye's consistent unbeaten run and defensive discipline make them the clear favorite to win this friendly. Their ability to control possession and limit FYR Macedonia's limited attacking threat provides a strong tactical and statistical foundation for victory. The match will test Türkiye's readiness ahead of the World Cup, with their momentum and squad depth key factors.
The main risk is the potential for defensive rotation in this friendly, which could disrupt Türkiye's defensive stability and allow FYR Macedonia to score, negating the clean sheet aspect and affecting the match outcome.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical readiness
“Türkiye's blend of defensive resilience and attacking efficiency positions them strongly against a Macedonian side struggling to find the net. Their recent narrow wins reflect tactical maturity essential for tournament success.”
Key Data Signals
Türkiye to Win evidence
Türkiye unbeaten in last 6 matches with 5 wins and strong defensive record
FYR Macedonia winless in 7 games, failing to score in 4 of last 5
Türkiye recorded 3 clean sheets in last 4 fixtures, conceding only 4 goals in 6 games
Key attackers like Kerem Akturkoglu lead Türkiye's offense despite injuries
What To Watch In The Data
Türkiye to Win notes
- Over the last six matches, Türkiye averages over two goals per game, indicating attacking potency.
- FYR Macedonia's recent matches have been low scoring, with multiple clean sheets and goalless draws.
- This trend suggests a tactical battle with potential for a controlled tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities, favoring under 2.5 goals outcomes.
Market odds
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Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Türkiye
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FYR Macedonia
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Friendlies
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
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