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TSV Hartberg crestTSV Hartberg
v
Austria Lustenau crestAustria Lustenau

Bundesliga | Sun 11 Oct, 13:30

TSV Hartberg v Austria Lustenau Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau meet in a Bundesliga clash where both teams have shown offensive intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Hartberg has scored only twice in recent matches but boasts a high BTTS rate of 80%, while Austria Lustenau averages 1.2 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate. Both sides have similar points tallies and mid-table standings, setting up a competitive encounter where attacking opportunities are likely to arise from open play and transitional moments. The match promises tactical battles with potential for goals at both ends given their recent scoring and conceding patterns.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • TSV Hartberg has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Austria Lustenau averages 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6, supporting goal exchanges.
  • Both teams have solid shot volumes: Hartberg 10.4 shots/game, Lustenau 14, with similar shots on target.
  • Recent H2H matches average 3.1 goals, reflecting open games with scoring from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by strong attacking and defensive stats from both sides. Hartberg’s high BTTS rate (80%) and Lustenau’s consistent goal scoring and conceding patterns create a favorable environment for goals at both ends. Shot volumes and recent H2H averages reinforce the likelihood of an open game. The current offer positive value with a 16.1% edge, making this a confident pick based on balanced offensive threat and defensive openness.

Hartberg BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Lustenau Goals For/Against1.2 GF / 1.6 GA per game
Positive
Shot VolumesHartberg 10.4, Lustenau 14 per game
Positive
H2H Average Goals3.1 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score in recent matches, making both teams to score a logical choice. Hartberg’s home form and Lustenau’s attacking midfielders suggest chances at both ends. The data supports an open game with goals likely from both sides, aligning well with the BTTS pick.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“This fixture features two teams with balanced attacking and defensive profiles, making goals at both ends a realistic expectation. The statistical signals and recent trends strongly favor a BTTS outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

TSV Hartberg has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Austria Lustenau averages 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6, supporting goal exchanges.

Both teams have solid shot volumes: Hartberg 10.4 shots/game, Lustenau 14, with similar shots on target.

Recent H2H matches average 3.1 goals, reflecting open games with scoring from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 3.1, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games.
  • Both teams have shown a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Hartberg’s 80% over 2.5 rate and Lustenau’s 60%, suggesting a fast tempo and goal-rich encounter likely to feature multiple scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

TSV Hartberg2
Avg goals scored
Austria Lustenau1.2
TSV Hartberg2
Avg goals conceded
Austria Lustenau1.6
TSV Hartberg80%
BTTS rate
Austria Lustenau60%
TSV Hartberg80%
Over 2.5 goals
Austria Lustenau60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have shown consistent goal involvement, with Hartberg scoring and conceding regularly and Lustenau maintaining a solid scoring rate despite conceding more. The 3.1 average goals in their last 10 meetings further supports an open game with goals from both sides, reinforcing the BTTS angle.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
TSV Hartberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Austria Lustenau to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 74.9% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). TSV Hartberg show a 80% BTTS rate and Austria Lustenau show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

TSV Hartberg

DDWWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
20 Sep 2026H Lask Linz3-3
13 Sep 2026A WSG Wattens2-2
30 Aug 2026H Ried3-2
22 Aug 2026A SCR Altach2-1
16 Aug 2026H Austria Vienna0-2

Austria Lustenau

WLLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
19 Sep 2026H SCR Altach2-0
13 Sep 2026A Austria Vienna1-2
28 Aug 2026H WSG Wattens0-4
22 Aug 2026A Sturm Graz1-1
15 Aug 2026H Wolfsberger AC2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 74% · edge +5.2 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
TSV Hartberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Austria Lustenau to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Austria Lustenau Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form shows Hartberg with 8 points and 2 goals scored, maintaining an 80% BTTS rate, while Lustenau has 7 points with 1.2 goals per game and a 60% BTTS rate. Both teams’ recent matches have featured goals at both ends, suggesting a continuation of this trend in the upcoming fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%TSV Hartberg Over 2.5
60%Austria Lustenau Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 3.1, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games. Both teams have shown a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Hartberg’s 80% over 2.5 rate and Lustenau’s 60%, suggesting a fast tempo and goal-rich encounter likely to feature multiple scoring opportunities.

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