Football Stats Hub

Treviso crestTreviso
v
Lecco crestLecco

Serie C - Girone A | Mon 31 Aug, 20:00

Treviso v Lecco Stats

Data last updated: Sun 30 Aug 2026, 07:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie C - Girone A fixture features Treviso hosting Lecco in a match where Lecco holds a slight edge based on recent form and league position. Treviso has yet to earn points this season and has conceded twice while scoring once, showing some defensive vulnerability. Lecco, sitting just above Treviso in the standings, has started with a point and a clean sheet, indicating defensive solidity. Both teams will be motivated to improve their early-season results, with Lecco likely aiming to capitalize on their defensive strength and tactical discipline away from home.

BT4Y best bet

Lecco to Win

  • Lecco holds a higher league position and has started with a clean sheet.
  • Treviso has conceded twice and lost points in their opening match.
  • Lecco's to win is 47.7%, above the implied chance of 40%.
  • Treviso's matches have featured goals and BTTS, but Lecco's defensive record suggests a tighter game.
  • Lecco's recent form and defensive solidity provide a solid foundation for an away win.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Lecco to win with a 47.7% chance, reflecting their defensive strength and better early-season form compared to Treviso. The of 2.5 imply a 40% chance, offering a positive of 7.7%. Lecco's ability to keep a clean sheet so far and their league standing support this selection. The data quality is solid for both teams, allowing in the defensive and form-based signals driving this pick.

Model Win Probability47.7%
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance40%
Positive
Value Edge7.7%
Strong positive
Recent Defensive FormLecco clean sheet, Treviso conceded twice
Positive
League PositionLecco 11th vs Treviso 13th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Lecco's defensive resilience and slightly better early form make them the favored side to win this match. Their ability to keep a clean sheet contrasts with Treviso's defensive lapses, suggesting Lecco can secure a valuable away victory. The data supports in Lecco's tactical discipline and match readiness.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Lecco's solid defensive start and league standing give them a tactical edge in this fixture, making them a credible away win candidate despite the tight margin.”

Key Data Signals

Lecco to Win evidence

Lecco holds a higher league position and has started with a clean sheet.

Treviso has conceded twice and lost points in their opening match.

Lecco's to win is 47.7%, above the implied chance of 40%.

Treviso's matches have featured goals and BTTS, but Lecco's defensive record suggests a tighter game.

What To Watch In The Data

Lecco to Win notes

  • Early season trends show Treviso's matches have gone over 2.5 goals and featured both teams scoring, indicating open play and defensive lapses.
  • Lecco's matches have been low scoring with clean sheets, suggesting a contrasting tempo and defensive approach.
  • This trend points to a match where Lecco aims to control tempo and limit goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Treviso1
Avg goals scored
Lecco0
Treviso2
Avg goals conceded
Lecco0
Treviso100%
BTTS rate
Lecco0%
Treviso100%
Over 2.5 goals
Lecco0%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +8 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Treviso's matches have featured goals and both teams scoring, reflecting an open attacking style early in the season. In contrast, Lecco has kept a clean sheet and not conceded, indicating a more cautious and disciplined defensive approach. This contrast suggests a potentially tight game with limited BTTS likelihood.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLecco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 36% · edge +11.3 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Lecco Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The of 2.5 for Lecco to win offer a positive value opportunity as the model estimates their chance at 47.7%, indicating the market underestimates Lecco's probability. This pricing suggests a good balance between risk and reward, making the bet appealing without being overly short-priced.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Treviso

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
23 Aug 2026A Trento1-2

Lecco

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
22 Aug 2026H Arzignano Valchiampo0-0
Market aligned with main pickLecco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 36% · edge +11.3 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Lecco Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Lecco's recent form shows a clean sheet and a point earned, reflecting defensive stability and resilience. Treviso's form is weaker, with no points and two goals conceded, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities and early-season adjustment issues. This form disparity supports in Lecco's chances to win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Treviso wins
0Draws
0Lecco wins
Market aligned with main pickLecco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 36% · edge +11.3 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
No previous head-to-head data is available between Treviso and Lecco, so historical results provide no direct insight. The focus should remain on current form, defensive solidity, and tactical setups to assess likely match outcomes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone A

Treviso1
Played
Lecco2
Treviso1
Avg goals for
Lecco0
Treviso2
Avg goals against
Lecco0.5
Treviso0
Clean sheets
Lecco1
Market aligned with main pickLecco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 36% · edge +11.3 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Lecco Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Lecco's season statistics emphasize defensive strength with zero goals conceded so far, while Treviso's stats reveal early defensive frailty. Offensively, Treviso has scored once but at the cost of defensive exposure, suggesting Lecco's defense could be decisive in limiting scoring opportunities.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Treviso321010
17Lecco12011-1
Lecco sits 11th in the Serie C - Girone A standings, just above Treviso at 13th, reflecting a marginally better start to the season. While the table is early and tight, this slight positional advantage aligns with Lecco's stronger defensive record and supports their favored status in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Treviso Over 2.5
0%Lecco Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Early season trends show Treviso's matches have gone over 2.5 goals and featured both teams scoring, indicating open play and defensive lapses. Lecco's matches have been low scoring with clean sheets, suggesting a contrasting tempo and defensive approach. This trend points to a match where Lecco aims to control tempo and limit goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.