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Trento crestTrento
v
Folgore Caratese crestFolgore Caratese

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 11 Oct, 16:30

Trento v Folgore Caratese Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 09:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Trento and Folgore Caratese meet in Serie C - Girone A with contrasting league positions and recent form. Trento sits fifth with 14 points and a solid defensive record, conceding less than one goal per game, while Folgore Caratese struggles near the bottom with 6 points and a leaky defense allowing 1.4 goals per match. Both teams have shown attacking intent, with Trento averaging 1.6 goals and Folgore Caratese 1.2. The tactical battle will likely see open moments as Folgore Caratese seeks to break down a disciplined Trento side, suggesting a contest where both teams can find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Trento averages 1.6 goals scored per game, showing attacking capability.
  • Folgore Caratese concedes 1.4 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Folgore Caratese has an 80% BTTS rate, highlighting frequent scoring in their games.
  • Trento’s BTTS rate is lower at 40%, but combined form suggests goals at both ends are likely.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 63.3% chance of both teams scoring, supported by Folgore Caratese’s high BTTS rate of 80% and Trento’s consistent attacking output. Despite Trento’s stronger defense, Folgore Caratese’s offensive efforts and defensive lapses create a scenario where both sides are likely to score. The offer positive value with a 13.3% edge, making BTTS a compelling selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model BTTS Chance63.3%
Strong positive
Folgore Caratese BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Trento Defensive Record0.8 goals conceded per game
Positive
Value Edge63.3% model chance vs 50% implied (+13.3 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities that make both teams to score a logical pick. Folgore Caratese’s frequent scoring and Trento’s ability to find the net despite a solid defense suggest a match where goals at both ends are probable. This selection balances tactical openness with recent scoring trends.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Folgore Caratese’s attacking persistence combined with Trento’s goal-scoring ability sets up a fixture where both sides are likely to breach each other’s defenses, making BTTS a strong tactical and statistical call.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Trento averages 1.6 goals scored per game, showing attacking capability.

Folgore Caratese concedes 1.4 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Folgore Caratese has an 80% BTTS rate, highlighting frequent scoring in their games.

Trento’s BTTS rate is lower at 40%, but combined form suggests goals at both ends are likely.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches, both teams have a 60% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This trend supports a lively tempo and attacking approach from both sides, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals and complementing the BTTS selection for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Trento1.6
Avg goals scored
Folgore Caratese1.2
Trento0.8
Avg goals conceded
Folgore Caratese1.4
Trento40%
BTTS rate
Folgore Caratese80%
Trento60%
Over 2.5 goals
Folgore Caratese60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have shown contrasting BTTS tendencies: Folgore Caratese’s 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Trento’s 40%. However, the combined attacking output and defensive records suggest a match with goals at both ends is plausible. The goal averages and recent form point to a contest where both sides can score despite Trento’s stronger defense.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Folgore Caratese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Folgore Caratese to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Trento Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Trento to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 63.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+13.3 pts). Trento show a 40% BTTS rate and Folgore Caratese show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Trento

DDWDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 0L
04 Oct 2026A Alcione2-2
26 Sep 2026A Pergolettese0-0
21 Sep 2026H PRO Vercelli4-0
17 Sep 2026A Giana Erminio2-2
13 Sep 2026H Union Brescia0-0

Folgore Caratese

LWDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 4L
03 Oct 2026H Desenzano Calvina1-2
26 Sep 2026A Lumezzane2-1
20 Sep 2026H Giana Erminio1-1
17 Sep 2026A Pergolettese0-0
13 Sep 2026H Alcione2-3
Best odds for this sectionFolgore Caratese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 28% · edge +13.8 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Folgore Caratese to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Trento Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Trento to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form shows Trento with 7 points and a strong defensive record, conceding less than one goal per game, while Folgore Caratese has 5 points and concedes more frequently. Folgore Caratese’s higher BTTS rate reflects their games often featuring goals at both ends. This form data supports the likelihood of both teams scoring despite Trento’s defensive solidity.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Trento Over 2.5
60%Folgore Caratese Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, both teams have a 60% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters. This trend supports a lively tempo and attacking approach from both sides, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals and complementing the BTTS selection for this fixture.

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