Torpedo Kutaisi
ZiraUEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 16 Jul, 17:00
Torpedo Kutaisi v Zira Stats
Data last updated: Sat 18 Jul 2026, 05:00 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi face Zira in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 16 Jul, 17:00. Zira boast exceptional defensive resilience at home, losing just once in their last six matches at the Zira Stadium. Their last six matches were evenly split: two wins, two draws and two defeats.
Ed up five red cards across 19 games, an average of 0
- At 11/20, Torpedo Kutaisi Win implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
- Zira have lost only one of their last six home matches, winning two and drawing three, which underlines how awkward they can be.
- Zira have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Torpedo Kutaisi.
- Zira have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Torpedo Kutaisi Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Ed up five red cards across 19 games, an average of 0 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 27% (-37.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +26.7 pts edge at 1.95.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 27% for Torpedo Kutaisi Win sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Zira have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Torpedo Kutaisi. Zira have lost only one of their last six home matches, winning two and drawing three, which underlines how awkward they can be.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Torpedo Kutaisi Win is the preferred angle because zira have lost only one of their last six home matches, winning two and drawing three, which underlines how awkward they can be to break down on their own patch. Zira have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Torpedo Kutaisi. Winning a shootout does not magically fix everything, but it can harden a dressing room.
Winning a shootout does not magically fix everything, but it can harden a dressing room.
Key Data Signals
Torpedo Kutaisi Win evidence
Zira have lost only one of their last six home matches, winning two and drawing three, which underlines.
Zira have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Torpedo Kutaisi.
Zira have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Torpedo Kutaisi Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
What To Watch In The Data
Torpedo Kutaisi Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Torpedo Kutaisi
Zira
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
UEFA Europa Conference League
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
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