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Torino crestTorino
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AS Roma crestAS Roma

Serie A | Mon 14 Sep, 17:30

Torino v AS Roma Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 08:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie A fixture between Torino and AS Roma presents a compelling attacking contest. AS Roma arrives in strong form, having scored over three goals per game on average, while Torino has also shown a willingness to engage offensively, with both teams consistently involved in high-scoring matches. Roma's efficient defense concedes very few goals, but Torino's recent matches have featured multiple goals, suggesting an open game. The tactical setup hints at Roma's attacking prowess against Torino's home resilience, setting the stage for a lively encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both Torino and AS Roma have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • AS Roma averages 3.33 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded per game, highlighting attacking strength and defensive solidity.
  • Torino's matches have featured an average of 3 goals, with 100% BTTS rate, indicating open play.
  • AS Roma generates significantly more shots (15) and shots on target (8) per game than Torino, suggesting offensive control.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 78% chance, well above the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating strong value. Both teams have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with Torino's matches always exceeding 2.5 goals recently and Roma's potent attack complemented by solid defense. The attacking roles of players like D. Soulé, who produce high shot volumes and goal threats, further support the likelihood of multiple goals. No data limitations affect , making this a robust selection.

Model Chance78%
Strong positive
Torino Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
AS Roma Attack3.33 goals/game
Strong positive
Shots & SOTRoma averages 15 shots, 8 on target
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game with both sides pushing forward. AS Roma's high shot volume and goal threat combined with Torino's tendency for high-scoring matches suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a logical outcome. Roma's offensive players create quality chances that should break through Torino's defense multiple times.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking dynamics and goal volume

“AS Roma's attacking efficiency and Torino's recent high-scoring matches create a strong foundation for Over 2.5 Goals. The volume of shots and goal threats from key players like Malen and Soulé underline the potential for multiple goals in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both Torino and AS Roma have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

AS Roma averages 3.33 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded per game, highlighting attacking strength and defensive solidity.

Torino's matches have featured an average of 3 goals, with 100% BTTS rate, indicating open play.

AS Roma generates significantly more shots (15) and shots on target (8) per game than Torino, suggesting offensive control.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 2.4, close to the Over 2.5 threshold.
  • Recent matches show a trend towards higher scoring, driven by Roma's attacking style and Torino's openness.
  • This trend panel suggests a tempo and chance quality conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Torino3.33
Avg corners for
AS Roma5.67
Torino7
Avg total corners
AS Roma7.67
Torino0.33
Avg yellow cards
AS Roma1
Torino8.33
Avg shots
AS Roma23.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 40% vs implied 50% · edge -10.4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Roma dominates in shots and shots on target, averaging 15 and 8 respectively, indicating sustained pressure and attacking intent. Torino's lower corner count and shots suggest a more reactive approach, but their matches still see high goal involvement. Discipline is moderate with Roma averaging 1 yellow card and Torino 0.5, reflecting a balanced physical contest.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Torino1.33
Avg goals scored
AS Roma3.33
Torino1.67
Avg goals conceded
AS Roma0.33
Torino100%
BTTS rate
AS Roma33%
Torino100%
Over 2.5 goals
AS Roma100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have shown a strong tendency for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Torino at 100% and Roma also at 100% in recent games. Torino's 100% BTTS rate contrasts with Roma's 33%, suggesting Torino concedes regularly while Roma's defense is tighter. This mix points to multiple goals but possibly less frequent BTTS outcomes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
AS Roma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
AS Roma to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Torino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Torino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with implying a 57.8% chance, while the model estimates a 78% probability, indicating clear value. This price gap reflects the strong attacking data and recent goal trends, making the market a positive-value opportunity without requiring caution on price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Torino

WLL
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
05 Sep 2026A Fiorentina2-1
29 Aug 2026A Sassuolo1-2
23 Aug 2026H AC Milan1-2

AS Roma

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
05 Sep 2026H Atalanta2-1
31 Aug 2026A Lecce4-0
24 Aug 2026H Fiorentina4-0
Best odds for this sectionAS Roma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
AS Roma to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Torino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Torino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Recent form data shows Torino with 3 points and AS Roma with 9, reflecting Roma's superior momentum. Both teams have consistently featured matches with over 2.5 goals, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring game. Torino concedes more goals on average, while Roma's strong attack and solid defense create a dynamic where multiple goals are likely.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Torino wins
2Draws
6AS Roma wins
18 Jan 2026Torino v AS Roma0-2
13 Jan 2026AS Roma v Torino2-3
14 Sep 2025AS Roma v Torino0-1
25 May 2025Torino v AS Roma0-2
31 Oct 2024AS Roma v Torino1-0
26 Feb 2024AS Roma v Torino3-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
AS Roma to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Torino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating moderately high scoring encounters historically. While not overwhelmingly supportive, the H2H data aligns with the attacking tendencies of both teams and recent form, providing background context rather than a decisive factor.
Season team stats

Serie A

Torino3
Played
AS Roma3
Torino1.3
Avg goals for
AS Roma3.3
Torino1.7
Avg goals against
AS Roma0.3
Torino0
Clean sheets
AS Roma2
Best odds for this sectionAS Roma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
AS Roma to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Torino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Torino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Season-long stats confirm the attacking nature of both teams, with Torino scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.67 goals per game, and Roma scoring 3.33 while conceding only 0.33. The high scoring and conceding rates for Torino combined with Roma's prolific attack support the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2AS Roma933009
13Torino33102-1
AS Roma sits 2nd in the Serie A standings with 9 points, indicating strong form and motivation to maintain momentum. Torino is 13th with 3 points, suggesting a need to push offensively to improve their position. The standings context supports an open game with Roma likely pressing for goals and Torino seeking to respond.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Torino Over 2.5
100%AS Roma Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 2.4, close to the Over 2.5 threshold. Recent matches show a trend towards higher scoring, driven by Roma's attacking style and Torino's openness. This trend panel suggests a tempo and chance quality conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.

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