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Tondela crestTondela
v
São João Ver crestSão João Ver

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 29 Jul, 13:00

Tondela v São João Ver Stats

Data last updated: Tue 28 Jul 2026, 05:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tondela face São João Ver in Friendlies Clubs on Wed 29 Jul, 13:00. Tondela come in with 7 recent points and 1 goals per match, while São João Ver have 3 points and 0.5 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Tondela and 0% for São João Ver, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Tondela are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with São João Ver at 0.5.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Tondela and 0% for São João Ver show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 66% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Tondela and 0% for São João Ver, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Tondela and 0%.Visible data support
Positive
Tondela are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Tondela are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with São João Ver at 0.5. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Tondela are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with São João Ver at 0.5.

BTTS rates of 60% for Tondela and 0% for São João Ver show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tondela1
Avg goals scored
São João Ver0.5
Tondela1
Avg goals conceded
São João Ver0.5
Tondela60%
BTTS rate
São João Ver0%
Tondela40%
Over 2.5 goals
São João Ver0%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tondela

LLWDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
25 Jul 2026H Beira-Mar1-2
25 Jul 2026A Famalicao0-1
22 Jul 2026H Academica2-1
19 Jul 2026H Nacional1-1
15 Jul 2026H Varzim1-0

São João Ver

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
18 Jul 2026A União Lamas1-0
03 Jul 2026A SC Braga0-1

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Tondela wins
0Draws
0São João Ver wins

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Tondela6
Played
São João Ver3
Tondela1
Avg goals for
São João Ver0.7
Tondela1
Avg goals against
São João Ver0.7
Tondela1
Clean sheets
São João Ver1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Tondela Over 2.5
0%São João Ver Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tondela sit at 40% and São João Ver sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.