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Tondela crestTondela
v
Nacional crestNacional

Friendlies Clubs | Sun 19 Jul, 11:00

Tondela v Nacional Stats

Data last updated: Sat 18 Jul 2026, 05:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tondela face Nacional in Friendlies Clubs on Sun 19 Jul, 11:00. Tondela come in with 3 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Nacional have 0 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Tondela to Win

  • Tondela Win is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Tondela have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Nacional.
  • Tondela have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Tondela Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Tondela Win around 66% on the latest available numbers. Tondela have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Nacional.

Tondela have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Tondela have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tondela Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Tondela have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Nacional. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Tondela Win evidence

Tondela have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Nacional.

Tondela have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Tondela Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Tondela Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Tondela1
    Avg goals scored
    Nacional1
    Tondela0
    Avg goals conceded
    Nacional2
    Tondela0%
    BTTS rate
    Nacional100%
    Tondela0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Nacional100%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Tondela

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    15 Jul 2026H Varzim1-0

    Nacional

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    11 Jul 2026H Machico1-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Tondela wins
    1Draws
    5Nacional wins
    25 Apr 2026Tondela v Nacional0-2
    15 Dec 2025Nacional v Tondela3-1
    24 Jul 2025Nacional v Tondela1-2
    12 May 2024Tondela v Nacional2-3
    06 Jan 2024Nacional v Tondela1-1
    29 Jan 2023Tondela v Nacional1-0

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Tondela1
    Played
    Nacional1
    Tondela1
    Avg goals for
    Nacional1
    Tondela0
    Avg goals against
    Nacional2
    Tondela1
    Clean sheets
    Nacional0

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Tondela Over 2.5
    100%Nacional Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tondela sit at 0% and Nacional sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.