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Flamengo crestFlamengo
v
Olimpia crestOlimpia

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 18 Jul, 00:00

Flamengo v Olimpia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 05:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly clash between Flamengo and Olimpia sets the stage for an open, attacking encounter as both sides look to sharpen their offensive play. Flamengo arrives with a solid recent run, scoring multiple goals and showing attacking fluidity, while Olimpia's aggressive style and high BTTS rate suggest a match ripe for goal-scoring opportunities. The fixture offers a tactical battle between Flamengo's creative attackers and Olimpia's pressing approach, promising a lively game with potential defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Flamengo has a 67% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Olimpia boasts a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating high-scoring games.
  • The last four head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals per game, highlighting goal-rich encounters.
  • Key Flamengo attackers like Pedro and Bruno Henrique have strong goal and assist contributions.
  • Olimpia's midfielders A. Caballero contribute significantly to shots on target, supporting offensive threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 78% chance, supported by both teams' recent attacking form and historical head-to-head goal averages. Flamengo's attackers, led by Pedro with 6 goals and nearly 3 shots on target per 90 minutes, combine with Olimpia's consistent goal-scoring and high BTTS rate to create a strong offensive outlook. The friendly nature encourages open play, increasing scoring chances. Data quality is solid, with balanced stats for both teams, reinforcing in this goal-focused pick.

Recent Over 2.5 RatesFlamengo 67%, Olimpia 100%
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals4 goals per match over last 4 games
Strong positive
Pedro's Goal Threat6 goals, 2.95 shots on target per 90
Strong positive
Olimpia Midfield Shots on TargetA. Silva and T. Caballero average 2.16 SOT per 90
Positive
Data QualityBalanced data points for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and entertaining friendly where both Flamengo and Olimpia push forward to test their attacking options. Flamengo's dynamic forwards and Olimpia's consistent goal-scoring form suggest multiple goals are likely. The attacking intent from both sides combined with historical high-scoring meetings supports the Over 2.5 Goals selection.

Main risk

The friendly match setting can lead to unpredictable defensive intensity and experimental line-ups, which might reduce defensive pressure and affect scoring patterns unpredictably.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking strength and match tempo

“Flamengo's potent attack led by Pedro and Bruno Henrique, combined with Olimpia's aggressive offensive approach, sets the stage for a high-scoring friendly. Both teams' recent matches and head-to-head history underline the likelihood of multiple goals in this encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Flamengo has a 67% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Olimpia boasts a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating high-scoring games.

The last four head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals per game, highlighting goal-rich encounters.

Key Flamengo attackers like Pedro and Bruno Henrique have strong goal and assist contributions.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last four head-to-head matches averaged 4 goals, indicating a trend of high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams historically involved in open, attacking games.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Flamengo2
Avg goals scored
Olimpia1
Flamengo1
Avg goals conceded
Olimpia2
Flamengo67%
BTTS rate
Olimpia100%
Flamengo67%
Over 2.5 goals
Olimpia100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 77% · edge +1.1 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Both teams demonstrate a clear offensive mindset with Flamengo scoring 2 goals and conceding 1 recently, and Olimpia scoring 1 but conceding 2. Olimpia's 100% BTTS rate and Flamengo's 67% rate highlight a strong likelihood of goals at both ends, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 77% · edge +1.1 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Olimpia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
7
Check odds @ 7
Olimpia to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Flamengo to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
The Over 2.5 Goals market reflects a strong model at 78%, indicating a robust expectation of multiple goals. While no explicit are provided, the statistical backing from recent form and head-to-head data suggests this market is well-supported and not merely a speculative choice.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Flamengo

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
11 Jul 2026A Benfica2-1
08 Jul 2026H Lausanne2-0
03 Jul 2026H River Plate2-2

Olimpia

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
19 Jan 2026A Boca Juniors1-2
Best odds for this sectionOlimpia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 14% · edge +27.7 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Olimpia to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.02
Check odds @ 1.02
Flamengo to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Flamengo's recent form includes 7 points with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, while Olimpia has struggled with 0 points but maintains a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate. This contrast suggests Flamengo's attacking efficiency combined with Olimpia's defensive vulnerabilities will contribute to a high-scoring match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Flamengo wins
0Draws
1Olimpia wins
11 Aug 2023Olimpia v Flamengo3-1
04 Aug 2023Flamengo v Olimpia1-0
18 Aug 2021Flamengo v Olimpia5-1
11 Aug 2021Olimpia v Flamengo1-4
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 77% · edge +1.1 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Olimpia to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Flamengo to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
The head-to-head record between Flamengo and Olimpia shows an average of 4 goals per game over four meetings, strongly supporting the likelihood of a goal-rich match. This historical context reinforces the Over 2.5 Goals pick as a well-founded expectation.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Flamengo4
Played
Olimpia2
Flamengo2.5
Avg goals for
Olimpia1.5
Flamengo1.3
Avg goals against
Olimpia3
Flamengo1
Clean sheets
Olimpia0
Best odds for this sectionOlimpia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 14% · edge +27.7 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
Olimpia to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Flamengo to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Season-long attacking data shows Flamengo's consistent goal threat through multiple forwards and midfielders, while Olimpia's offensive metrics reflect a team prone to open games with frequent goals. These season stats align well with the Over 2.5 Goals expectation for this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Flamengo Over 2.5
100%Olimpia Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The last four head-to-head matches averaged 4 goals, indicating a trend of high-scoring encounters. This recent sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams historically involved in open, attacking games.

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