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Tondela crestTondela
v
Academica crestAcademica

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 22 Jul, 11:00

Tondela v Academica Stats

Data last updated: Tue 21 Jul 2026, 04:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tondela face Academica in Friendlies Clubs on Wed 22 Jul, 11:00. Tondela come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Academica have 3 points and 0.33 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Tondela and 33% for Academica, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Tondela are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Academica at 0.33.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Tondela and 0% for Academica show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 66% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Tondela and 33% for Academica, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Tondela and 33%.Visible data support
Positive
Tondela are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Tondela are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Academica at 0.33. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Tondela are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Academica at 0.33.

BTTS rates of 50% for Tondela and 0% for Academica show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tondela1
Avg goals scored
Academica0.33
Tondela0.5
Avg goals conceded
Academica2.33
Tondela50%
BTTS rate
Academica0%
Tondela0%
Over 2.5 goals
Academica33%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tondela

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
19 Jul 2026H Nacional1-1
15 Jul 2026H Varzim1-0

Academica

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
18 Jul 2026A Guimaraes0-2
15 Jul 2026A Torreense0-5
11 Jul 2026A Maritimo1-0

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Tondela wins
2Draws
1Academica wins
10 Jul 2024Academica v Tondela1-3
15 Jul 2023Tondela v Academica1-1
02 Oct 2022Academica v Tondela1-1
14 May 2016Tondela v Academica2-0
10 Jan 2016Academica v Tondela2-1

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Tondela2
Played
Academica3
Tondela1
Avg goals for
Academica0.3
Tondela0.5
Avg goals against
Academica2.3
Tondela1
Clean sheets
Academica1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Tondela Over 2.5
33%Academica Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tondela sit at 0% and Academica sit at 33% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.