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Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest
v
Blackburn crestBlackburn

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 22 Jul, 11:00

Nottingham Forest v Blackburn Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 14:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nottingham Forest face Blackburn in Friendlies Clubs on Wed 22 Jul, 11:00. That record gives the Premier League side a clear recent advantage in the fixture, even if a friendly carries a very different competitive context.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Match and Both Teams to Score - Nottingham Forest to Win & BTTS

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 1.67, Match and Both Teams to Score - Nottingham Forest to Win & BTTS implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Forest’s defensive adjustments due to injuries may expose vulnerabilities against Blackburn’s attack.
  • Blackburn have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Nottingham Forest.
Price warning

Match and Both Teams to Score - Nottingham Forest to Win & BTTS is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 43% (-17.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +15 pts edge at 2.38.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Match and Both Teams to Score - Nottingham Forest to Win & BTTS sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Blackburn have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Nottingham Forest. Forest’s defensive adjustments due to injuries may expose vulnerabilities against Blackburn’s attack.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
Blackburn have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Forest’s defensive adjustments due to injuries may expose vulnerabilities.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Nottingham Forest Win is the preferred angle because forest’s defensive adjustments due to injuries may expose vulnerabilities against Blackburn’s attack. Blackburn have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Nottingham Forest. However, that approach requires composure.

Main risk

However, that approach requires composure.

Key Data Signals

Match and Both Teams to Score - Nottingham Forest to Win & BTTS evidence

Forest’s defensive adjustments due to injuries may expose vulnerabilities against Blackburn’s attack.

Blackburn have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Nottingham Forest.

Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Nottingham Forest Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Match and Both Teams to Score - Nottingham Forest to Win & BTTS notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Nottingham Forest2
    Avg goals scored
    Blackburn1.5
    Nottingham Forest0
    Avg goals conceded
    Blackburn0
    Nottingham Forest0%
    BTTS rate
    Blackburn0%
    Nottingham Forest0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Blackburn50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 60% · edge -17.3 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Nottingham Forest to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Nottingham Forest

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    18 Jul 2026A Notts County2-0

    Blackburn

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    18 Jul 2026H Barnsley3-0
    11 Jul 2026A Accrington ST0-0
    Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 60% · edge -17.3 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Nottingham Forest wins
    2Draws
    3Blackburn wins
    21 Dec 2022Blackburn v Nottingham Forest1-4
    09 Feb 2022Blackburn v Nottingham Forest0-2
    18 Aug 2021Nottingham Forest v Blackburn1-2
    20 Feb 2021Nottingham Forest v Blackburn1-0
    17 Oct 2020Blackburn v Nottingham Forest0-1
    01 Jan 2020Nottingham Forest v Blackburn3-2
    Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 60% · edge -17.3 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Nottingham Forest to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Nottingham Forest8
    Played
    Blackburn5
    Nottingham Forest1.4
    Avg goals for
    Blackburn1.2
    Nottingham Forest1.1
    Avg goals against
    Blackburn0.8
    Nottingham Forest2
    Clean sheets
    Blackburn3
    Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 60% · edge -17.3 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Season data supports Nottingham Forest to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
    50%Blackburn Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nottingham Forest sit at 0% and Blackburn sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.