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The New Saints crestThe New Saints
v
Sabah FA crestSabah FA

UEFA Champions League | Tue 14 Jul, 18:30

The New Saints v Sabah FA Stats

Data last updated: Tue 04 Aug 2026, 21:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

The New Saints face Sabah FA in UEFA Champions League on Tue 14 Jul, 18:30. The New Saints come in with 0 recent points and 0 goals per match, while Sabah FA have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.25, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for The New Saints and 0% for Sabah FA, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Sabah FA are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with The New Saints at 0.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for The New Saints and 0% for Sabah FA show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for The New Saints and 0% for Sabah FA, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for The New Saints.Visible data support
Positive
Sabah FA are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sabah FA are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with The New Saints at 0. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Sabah FA are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with The New Saints at 0.

BTTS rates of 0% for The New Saints and 0% for Sabah FA show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

The New Saints0
Avg goals scored
Sabah FA2
The New Saints2
Avg goals conceded
Sabah FA0
The New Saints0%
BTTS rate
Sabah FA0%
The New Saints0%
Over 2.5 goals
Sabah FA0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

The New Saints

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
07 Jul 2026A Sabah FA0-2

Sabah FA

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
07 Jul 2026H The New Saints2-0
Best odds for this sectionSabah FA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +5.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
The New Saints Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Sabah FA Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The New Saints to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionSabah FA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +5.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
The New Saints Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Sabah FA Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The New Saints to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Sabah FA to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0The New Saints wins
0Draws
1Sabah FA wins
07 Jul 2026Sabah FA v The New Saints2-0
Best odds for this sectionSabah FA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +5.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
The New Saints to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample gives context for Sabah FA to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

The New Saints2
Played
Sabah FA4
The New Saints0.5
Avg goals for
Sabah FA1.8
The New Saints2
Avg goals against
Sabah FA0.3
The New Saints0
Clean sheets
Sabah FA3
Best odds for this sectionSabah FA to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +5.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
The New Saints Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Sabah FA Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The New Saints to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Season data supports Sabah FA to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%The New Saints Over 2.5
0%Sabah FA Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: The New Saints sit at 0% and Sabah FA sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.