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Team Altamura crestTeam Altamura
v
Catania crestCatania

Serie C - Girone C | Sun 11 Oct, 11:30

Team Altamura v Catania Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 09:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Catania arrives in good form and higher in the Serie C - Girone C standings, sitting 4th with 13 points compared to Team Altamura's 15th place and 8 points. Catania's recent performances show a stronger attack and more consistent results, while Team Altamura has struggled to score and maintain defensive solidity. This match offers Catania a chance to consolidate their position with an away win, leveraging their offensive edge and better momentum against a lower-ranked opponent.

BT4Y best bet

Catania to Win

  • Catania ranks 4th with 13 points; Team Altamura is 15th with 8 points.
  • Catania averages 1.8 goals per game; Team Altamura scores 0.4 goals per game.
  • Catania has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate; Team Altamura's is 40%.
  • Catania's BTTS rate is 80%, indicating frequent scoring on both sides.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.25 goals, suggesting moderate scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Catania to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, higher league standing, and stronger offensive output. Catania's ability to score and create chances is backed by an 80% BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals rate, contrasting with Team Altamura's lower scoring and defensive struggles. This combination of data and football context supports the away win pick as a solid choice with positive value at 1.75 . The data quality is good, enhancing in the prediction.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance70% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+10.1 pts)
Positive
Value Edge70% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+10.1 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormCatania stronger with 10 points vs 4
Strong positive
Goals Scored Per GameCatania 1.8 vs Team Altamura 0.4
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Catania's superior attacking form and higher league position make them the logical choice for victory. Their consistent goal-scoring and ability to pressure opponents provide a tactical advantage, while Team Altamura's struggles in front of goal and lower points tally underline the challenge they face in this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical form

“Catania's offensive consistency and league momentum position them well to secure an away win, especially against a Team Altamura side that has struggled to find the net and maintain defensive stability.”

Key Data Signals

Catania to Win evidence

Catania ranks 4th with 13 points; Team Altamura is 15th with 8 points.

Catania averages 1.8 goals per game; Team Altamura scores 0.4 goals per game.

Catania has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate; Team Altamura's is 40%.

Catania's BTTS rate is 80%, indicating frequent scoring on both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Catania to Win notes

  • In the last five matches, Catania has featured in games with a high frequency of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating an open and attacking style.
  • Team Altamura's lower rate suggests a more cautious approach, but the combined trend and historical average goals of 2.25 per meeting point to a match with a good chance of multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Team Altamura0.4
Avg goals scored
Catania1.8
Team Altamura1.4
Avg goals conceded
Catania1.2
Team Altamura20%
BTTS rate
Catania80%
Team Altamura40%
Over 2.5 goals
Catania80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Catania's high BTTS rate of 80% and Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80% contrast with Team Altamura's lower rates, indicating a game likely to feature multiple goals and scoring from both sides. The head-to-head average of 2.25 goals supports a moderate scoring expectation, reinforcing the attacking potential in this fixture.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCatania to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Catania Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
The 70% for Catania to Win sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+10.1 pts). Catania have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Team Altamura.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Team Altamura

DLWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 4L
04 Oct 2026A Audace Cerignola0-0
27 Sep 2026A Scafatese0-2
19 Sep 2026H AZ Picerno2-1
15 Sep 2026A Casertana0-1
11 Sep 2026H Bari0-3

Catania

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
03 Oct 2026H Crotone2-1
27 Sep 2026A Casertana2-1
19 Sep 2026H Barletta0-0
15 Sep 2026A AZ Picerno4-2
12 Sep 2026H Scafatese1-2
Market aligned with main pickCatania to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Catania Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Recent form data shows Catania with 10 points from their last matches, demonstrating consistent performance and goal-scoring ability. In contrast, Team Altamura has managed only 4 points and struggles to find the net, scoring just 0.4 goals per game. This form disparity favors Catania's chances to control the match and secure a win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Team Altamura Over 2.5
80%Catania Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, Catania has featured in games with a high frequency of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating an open and attacking style. Team Altamura's lower rate suggests a more cautious approach, but the combined trend and historical average goals of 2.25 per meeting point to a match with a good chance of multiple goals.

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