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SV Elversberg crestSV Elversberg
v
FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

Bundesliga | Sat 17 Oct, 14:30

SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 06:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SV Elversberg face FC Augsburg in Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct, 14:30. SV Elversberg come in with 7 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while FC Augsburg have 8 points and 2.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

FC Augsburg to Win

  • At 2.6, FC Augsburg to Win implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
  • FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for SV Elversberg.
  • SV Elversberg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the FC Augsburg to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • SV Elversberg sit 7 in the table, while FC Augsburg sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for FC Augsburg to Win sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for SV Elversberg.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Positive
FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
SV Elversberg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: FC Augsburg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for SV Elversberg. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

FC Augsburg to Win evidence

FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for SV Elversberg.

SV Elversberg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the FC Augsburg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

SV Elversberg sit 7 in the table, while FC Augsburg sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Augsburg to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    SV Elversberg1.6
    Avg goals scored
    FC Augsburg2.6
    SV Elversberg1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    FC Augsburg1.6
    SV Elversberg60%
    BTTS rate
    FC Augsburg80%
    SV Elversberg60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    FC Augsburg100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Bundesliga fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFC Augsburg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 39% · edge +14.3 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    FC Augsburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    FC Augsburg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    SV Elversberg

    LDLWW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 2L
    10 Oct 2026A Union Berlin0-1
    20 Sep 2026A FC Schalke 040-0
    13 Sep 2026H Bayern München1-2
    05 Sep 2026A Borussia Mönchengladbach4-3
    29 Aug 2026H Bayer Leverkusen3-2

    FC Augsburg

    DLDWW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 1L
    10 Oct 2026H Bayern München2-2
    19 Sep 2026A Werder Bremen2-3
    12 Sep 2026H Bayer Leverkusen2-2
    06 Sep 2026A Eintracht Frankfurt4-1
    30 Aug 2026H FC Schalke 043-0
    Market aligned with main pickFC Augsburg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 39% · edge +14.3 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
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    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    FC Augsburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%SV Elversberg Over 2.5
    100%FC Augsburg Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: SV Elversberg sit at 60% and FC Augsburg sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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