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Sutjeska crestSutjeska
v
Kairat Almaty crestKairat Almaty

UEFA Champions League | Wed 15 Jul, 20:00

Sutjeska v Kairat Almaty Stats

Data last updated: Thu 03 Sep 2026, 03:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sutjeska face Kairat Almaty in UEFA Champions League on Wed 15 Jul, 20:00. Sutjeska come in with 0 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Kairat Almaty have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.65, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Sutjeska and 100% for Kairat Almaty, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Kairat Almaty are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Sutjeska at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Sutjeska and 100% for Kairat Almaty show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Sutjeska and 100% for Kairat Almaty, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Sutjeska and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
Kairat Almaty are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Sutjeska and 100% for Kairat Almaty, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Sutjeska and 100% for Kairat Almaty, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Kairat Almaty are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Sutjeska at 1.

BTTS rates of 100% for Sutjeska and 100% for Kairat Almaty show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sutjeska1
Avg goals scored
Kairat Almaty2
Sutjeska2
Avg goals conceded
Kairat Almaty1
Sutjeska100%
BTTS rate
Kairat Almaty100%
Sutjeska100%
Over 2.5 goals
Kairat Almaty100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Kairat Almaty Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Sutjeska to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Sutjeska Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sutjeska

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
08 Jul 2026A Kairat Almaty1-2

Kairat Almaty

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
08 Jul 2026H Sutjeska2-1
Best odds for this sectionKairat Almaty Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Sutjeska to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Sutjeska Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Sutjeska wins
0Draws
1Kairat Almaty wins
08 Jul 2026Kairat Almaty v Sutjeska2-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Sutjeska to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Sutjeska2
Played
Kairat Almaty6
Sutjeska0.5
Avg goals for
Kairat Almaty1
Sutjeska2
Avg goals against
Kairat Almaty0.7
Sutjeska0
Clean sheets
Kairat Almaty2
Best odds for this sectionKairat Almaty Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Sutjeska to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Sutjeska Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season data supports Kairat Almaty Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
UEFA Champions League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Sutjeska Over 2.5
100%Kairat Almaty Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sutjeska sit at 100% and Kairat Almaty sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.