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Sunderland crestSunderland
v
Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest

Premier League | Sun 13 Dec, 14:00

Sunderland v Nottingham Forest Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 02:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sunderland face Nottingham Forest in Premier League on Sun 13 Dec, 14:00. Their higher shot volume and superior passing accuracy suggest they can exploit a Sunderland side that has struggled for home wins lately and remains vulnerable to the wide attacking play Forest prefer to utilise.

BT4Y best bet

Sunderland Win

  • Sunderland Win is rated around 42% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Forest's momentum and Sunderland's defensive lapses after conceding four to Villa point towards narrow margins.
  • Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Sunderland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sunderland sit 20 in the table, while Nottingham Forest sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Sunderland Win around 42% on the latest available numbers. Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Sunderland Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Forest's momentum and Sunderland's defensive lapses after conceding four to Villa point towards narrow margins.

Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Sunderland sit 20 in the table, while Nottingham Forest sit.Visible data support
Positive
Forest's momentum and Sunderland's defensive lapses after conceding four.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sunderland Win is the preferred angle because forest's momentum and Sunderland's defensive lapses after conceding four to Villa point towards narrow margins. Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Sunderland Win angle more than a raw possession edge. It is the most straightforward market but depends entirely on which team finds the clinical edge over 90 minutes.

Main risk

It is the most straightforward market but depends entirely on which team finds the clinical edge over 90 minutes.

Key Data Signals

Sunderland Win evidence

Forest's momentum and Sunderland's defensive lapses after conceding four to Villa point towards narrow margins.

Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Sunderland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sunderland sit 20 in the table, while Nottingham Forest sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sunderland Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sunderland0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Nottingham Forest0.4
    Sunderland2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Nottingham Forest1.6
    Sunderland40%
    BTTS rate
    Nottingham Forest40%
    Sunderland40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Nottingham Forest20%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sunderland

    LDLLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 6L
    31 Oct 2026A Coventry1-3
    25 Oct 2026H Leeds0-0
    18 Oct 2026A Bournemouth0-2
    10 Oct 2026H Brighton0-2
    20 Sep 2026A Manchester City3-5

    Nottingham Forest

    LDLLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 5L
    31 Oct 2026A Brentford0-2
    23 Oct 2026A Ipswich1-1
    18 Oct 2026H Arsenal0-1
    11 Oct 2026A Crystal Palace1-3
    19 Sep 2026H Coventry0-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Sunderland Over 2.5
    20%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sunderland sit at 40% and Nottingham Forest sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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