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Sturm Graz crestSturm Graz
v
Lask Linz crestLask Linz

Bundesliga | Sun 13 Sep, 16:00

Sturm Graz v Lask Linz Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sturm Graz face Lask Linz in Bundesliga on Sun 13 Sep, 16:00. Sturm Graz come in with 8 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Lask Linz have 15 points and 3 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Lask Linz to Win

  • At 2.2, Lask Linz to Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Lask Linz have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Sturm Graz.
  • Lask Linz have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Lask Linz to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sturm Graz sit 4 in the table, while Lask Linz sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Lask Linz to Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Lask Linz have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Sturm Graz.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Strong positive
Lask Linz have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
Lask Linz have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lask Linz Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Lask Linz have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Sturm Graz. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Lask Linz to Win evidence

Lask Linz have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Sturm Graz.

Lask Linz have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Lask Linz Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sturm Graz sit 4 in the table, while Lask Linz sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Lask Linz to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sturm Graz8.2
    Avg corners for
    Lask Linz8.2
    Sturm Graz13.2
    Avg total corners
    Lask Linz9.2
    Sturm Graz2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Lask Linz1.4
    Sturm Graz16.8
    Avg shots
    Lask Linz21

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sturm Graz1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Lask Linz3
    Sturm Graz1
    Avg goals conceded
    Lask Linz0.4
    Sturm Graz60%
    BTTS rate
    Lask Linz40%
    Sturm Graz20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Lask Linz80%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 42% · edge +7.5 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 20% for Sturm Graz and 80% for Lask Linz, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLask Linz to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Lask Linz to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sturm Graz

    LDWWD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 1L
    30 Aug 2026A Rapid Vienna1-3
    22 Aug 2026H Austria Lustenau1-1
    15 Aug 2026H SCR Altach1-0
    08 Aug 2026A TSV Hartberg2-0
    01 Aug 2026A WSG Wattens1-1

    Lask Linz

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 0D 0L
    01 Sep 2026A Wolfsberger AC3-1
    29 Aug 2026H SCR Altach3-0
    14 Aug 2026H Ried4-1
    09 Aug 2026A Austria Vienna2-0
    31 Jul 2026H Grazer AK3-0
    Market aligned with main pickLask Linz to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Sturm Graz wins
    3Draws
    2Lask Linz wins
    22 Apr 2026Sturm Graz v Lask Linz1-1
    19 Apr 2026Lask Linz v Sturm Graz1-1
    23 Nov 2025Sturm Graz v Lask Linz1-3
    01 Aug 2025Lask Linz v Sturm Graz0-2
    16 Mar 2025Sturm Graz v Lask Linz4-2
    27 Oct 2024Lask Linz v Sturm Graz1-2
    Market aligned with main pickLask Linz to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Lask Linz to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    Sturm Graz5
    Played
    Lask Linz5
    Sturm Graz1.2
    Avg goals for
    Lask Linz3
    Sturm Graz1
    Avg goals against
    Lask Linz0.4
    Sturm Graz2
    Clean sheets
    Lask Linz3
    Market aligned with main pickLask Linz to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Season data supports Lask Linz to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Lask Linz15550013
    4Sturm Graz852211
    Sturm Graz sit in position 4, while Lask Linz sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Lask Linz to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Sturm Graz Over 2.5
    80%Lask Linz Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sturm Graz sit at 20% and Lask Linz sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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