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Sturm Graz crestSturm Graz
v
Fenerbahçe crestFenerbahçe

UEFA Champions League | Tue 11 Aug, 19:30

Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 15:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sturm Graz face Fenerbahçe in UEFA Champions League on Tue 11 Aug, 19:30. Sturm's strong home record and recent attacking form support their scoring chances, while Fenerbahce remain unbeaten in their Champions League qualifiers and away games, making a win with goals at both ends plausible.

BT4Y best bet

Fenerbahce to win and both teams to score

  • Fenerbahce to win and both teams to score is rated around 19% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Sturm Graz and Fenerbahce both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.
  • Fenerbahçe need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sturm Graz on 6 and Fenerbahçe on 7.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Sturm Graz and 33% for Fenerbahçe.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Fenerbahce to win and both teams to score around 19% on the latest available numbers. Fenerbahçe need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sturm Graz on 6 and Fenerbahçe on 7. Sturm Graz and Fenerbahce both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Fenerbahçe need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Sturm Graz and Fenerbahce both carry scoring threat.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Fenerbahçe Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because sturm Graz and Fenerbahce both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner. Fenerbahçe need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sturm Graz on 6 and Fenerbahçe on 7. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Fenerbahce to win and both teams to score evidence

Sturm Graz and Fenerbahce both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Fenerbahçe need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sturm Graz on 6 and Fenerbahçe on 7.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Sturm Graz and 33% for Fenerbahçe.

Fenerbahçe Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Sturm Graz and 1.33 for Fenerbahçe are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Fenerbahce to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sturm Graz2
Avg goals scored
Fenerbahçe1.33
Sturm Graz0.67
Avg goals conceded
Fenerbahçe0.33
Sturm Graz0%
BTTS rate
Fenerbahçe33%
Sturm Graz33%
Over 2.5 goals
Fenerbahçe0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFenerbahçe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 52% · edge +0.2 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Fenerbahçe to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Fenerbahçe Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sturm Graz2.67
Avg corners for
Fenerbahçe6.67
Sturm Graz10.67
Avg total corners
Fenerbahçe11
Sturm Graz1.67
Avg yellow cards
Fenerbahçe1.67
Sturm Graz14
Avg shots
Fenerbahçe15.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +11.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sturm Graz

LWW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
05 Aug 2026A Fenerbahçe0-2
28 Jul 2026A Heart Of Midlothian2-0
21 Jul 2026H Heart Of Midlothian4-0

Fenerbahçe

WDW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
05 Aug 2026H Sturm Graz2-0
29 Jul 2026A Gornik Zabrze1-1
21 Jul 2026H Gornik Zabrze1-0
Market aligned with main pickFenerbahçe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 52% · edge +0.2 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Fenerbahçe to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Sturm Graz wins
1Draws
2Fenerbahçe wins
05 Aug 2026Fenerbahçe v Sturm Graz2-0
03 Aug 2017Fenerbahçe v Sturm Graz1-1
27 Jul 2017Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe1-2
Market aligned with main pickFenerbahçe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 54% · edge -12.3 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head sample gives context for Fenerbahçe to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Sturm Graz4
Played
Fenerbahçe7
Sturm Graz1.5
Avg goals for
Fenerbahçe1.3
Sturm Graz0.8
Avg goals against
Fenerbahçe0.6
Sturm Graz2
Clean sheets
Fenerbahçe3
Market aligned with main pickFenerbahçe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 52% · edge +0.2 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Fenerbahçe to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Fenerbahçe Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
20Fenerbahçe110100
UEFA Champions League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Sturm Graz Over 2.5
0%Fenerbahçe Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sturm Graz sit at 33% and Fenerbahçe sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

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