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Stoke City crestStoke City
v
Everton crestEverton

Friendlies Clubs | Tue 28 Jul, 19:45

Stoke City v Everton Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 07:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stoke City face Everton in Friendlies Clubs on Tue 28 Jul, 19:45. Everton enter this pre-season fixture with strong top-flight credentials, having secured 49 Premier League points last season and the fourth-best away record. A 0-2 scoreline is plausible given Everton’s defensive stability, demonstrated by consecutive pre-season clean sheets and nine top-flight shutouts last season.

BT4Y match pick

Everton to Win

  • At 1.75, Everton to Win implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Everton’s back-to-back clean sheets and Stoke’s conceded goals highlight a defensive edge for Everton.
  • Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Stoke City.
  • Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Everton to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Everton to Win sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Stoke City. Everton’s back-to-back clean sheets and Stoke’s conceded goals highlight a defensive edge for Everton.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Negative
Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Everton’s back-to-back clean sheets and Stoke’s conceded goals highlight.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Everton Win is the preferred angle because everton’s back-to-back clean sheets and Stoke’s conceded goals highlight a defensive edge for Everton. Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Stoke City. Stoke City carry the stronger scoring threat, but Everton must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Stoke City carry the stronger scoring threat, but Everton must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Everton to Win evidence

Everton’s back-to-back clean sheets and Stoke’s conceded goals highlight a defensive edge for Everton.

Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Stoke City.

Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Everton Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Everton to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Stoke City0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Everton2
    Stoke City1
    Avg goals conceded
    Everton0
    Stoke City50%
    BTTS rate
    Everton0%
    Stoke City0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Everton50%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 62%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 57% · edge -3.2 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Everton to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    related match predictionplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Stoke City

    DL
    Last 50W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 1L
    18 Jul 2026A Crewe1-1
    10 Jul 2026H SC Braga0-1

    Everton

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    25 Jul 2026A Bolton0-0
    18 Jul 2026A Dundee4-0
    Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 57% · edge -3.2 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Stoke City Over 2.5
    50%Everton Over 2.5
    2.3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Stoke City sit at 0% and Everton sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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