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Standard Liege crestStandard Liege
v
Charleroi crestCharleroi

Jupiler Pro League | Sun 11 Oct, 12:30

Standard Liege v Charleroi Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Standard Liege hosts Charleroi in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both teams have shown attacking intent this season. Charleroi currently sits higher in the standings with 18 points, while Standard Liege has 11 points. Both sides have averaged 60% BTTS rates and over 2.5 goals in recent matches, indicating open games with goal-scoring opportunities at both ends. The fixture promises tactical battles with offensive players like D. Eckert Ayensa and P. Guiagon likely to influence proceedings, making goal involvement from both teams a realistic prospect.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent mutual scoring.
  • Standard Liege and Charleroi both average 60% over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting open play.
  • Charleroi ranks 4th with 18 points, Standard Liege 7th with 11, reflecting competitive form.
  • Key attackers like D. Guiagon have strong goal threat and shot volumes.
  • Both teams average over 12 shots per game, indicating sustained offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 59.9%, indicating clear value. Both Standard Liege and Charleroi have consistent attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities, with each side conceding over one goal per game on average. Their balanced offensive and defensive profiles, combined with strong shot volumes and BTTS rates, support the likelihood of goals from both teams. No data limitations affect in this prediction.

Model Chance73.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams60% each
Strong positive
Average Goals Conceded1.4 (Standard Liege), 1.2 (Charleroi)
Positive
Shot Volume12.4 (Standard Liege), 15.8 (Charleroi) per game
Positive
Market Implied Chance73.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+13.4 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking prowess and defensive frailties, making a match with goals at both ends highly plausible. The consistent BTTS rates and offensive statistics underline the tactical openness expected, supporting the bet on both teams scoring in this encounter.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with balanced attacking threat and defensive lapses, making goals from both teams a logical expectation given their recent performances and player profiles.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent mutual scoring.

Standard Liege and Charleroi both average 60% over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting open play.

Charleroi ranks 4th with 18 points, Standard Liege 7th with 11, reflecting competitive form.

Key attackers like D. Guiagon have strong goal threat and shot volumes.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Both teams have maintained a 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches this season, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to multiple goals.
  • The trend supports an expectation of an open game with goal opportunities for both sides, aligning with the BTTS pick.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Standard Liege1.6
Avg goals scored
Charleroi2.2
Standard Liege1.4
Avg goals conceded
Charleroi1.2
Standard Liege60%
BTTS rate
Charleroi60%
Standard Liege60%
Over 2.5 goals
Charleroi60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both Standard Liege and Charleroi have maintained a 60% BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals rate this season, reflecting open games with mutual scoring. Their average goals conceded per match (1.4 and 1.2 respectively) and attacking outputs support a scenario where both teams find the net, aligning with the BTTS prediction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Charleroi Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Charleroi to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Standard Liege Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Standard Liege show a 60% BTTS rate and Charleroi show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Standard Liege

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 2L
18 Sep 2026A Gent1-2
12 Sep 2026A KVC Westerlo2-4
05 Sep 2026H Antwerp1-0
29 Aug 2026A OH Leuven2-1
21 Aug 2026H RAAL La Louvière2-0

Charleroi

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 1L
19 Sep 2026H Cercle Brugge3-2
13 Sep 2026A Zulte Waregem1-0
05 Sep 2026H Union St. Gilloise2-3
29 Aug 2026A Kortrijk3-1
22 Aug 2026H KV Mechelen2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Charleroi Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Charleroi to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Standard Liege Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Standard Liege to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form data shows Standard Liege with 9 points and Charleroi with 12 points from their last matches, both maintaining 60% BTTS and over 2.5 goals rates. This consistency in mutual scoring and goal-rich games highlights the attacking mindset and defensive vulnerabilities persisting in both squads, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Standard Liege Over 2.5
60%Charleroi Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Both teams have maintained a 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches this season, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to multiple goals. The trend supports an expectation of an open game with goal opportunities for both sides, aligning with the BTTS pick.

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