ST Mirren
MotherwellPremiership | Sat 13 Feb, 15:00
ST Mirren v Motherwell Stats
Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 01:49 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
ST Mirren face Motherwell in Premiership on Sat 13 Feb, 15:00. 9 matches: Motherwell are unbeaten in their last nine league meetings with St Mirren. Motherwell's unbeaten record against St Mirren and strong attacking signs against St Johnstone support a home win with both teams scoring.
Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines
- At 9/4, Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
- Both teams have shown scoring ability against vulnerable defences, but the exact score prediction is fragile due to the possibility of more goals.
- The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for ST Mirren and 40% for Motherwell.
- Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 30% for Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for ST Mirren and 40% for Motherwell.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Motherwell Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because both teams have shown scoring ability against vulnerable defences, but the exact score prediction is fragile due to the possibility of more goals. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for ST Mirren and 40% for Motherwell. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.
Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.
Key Data Signals
Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines evidence
Both teams have shown scoring ability against vulnerable defences, but the exact score prediction is fragile due.
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for ST Mirren and 40% for Motherwell.
Motherwell Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.8 for ST Mirren and 1 for Motherwell are central to the read.
What To Watch In The Data
Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines notes
- Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
ST Mirren
Motherwell
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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