Football Stats Hub

ST Mirren crestST Mirren
v
Motherwell crestMotherwell

Premiership | Sat 13 Feb, 15:00

ST Mirren v Motherwell Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 01:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Mirren face Motherwell in Premiership on Sat 13 Feb, 15:00. 9 matches: Motherwell are unbeaten in their last nine league meetings with St Mirren. Motherwell's unbeaten record against St Mirren and strong attacking signs against St Johnstone support a home win with both teams scoring.

BT4Y match pick

Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines

  • At 9/4, Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
  • Both teams have shown scoring ability against vulnerable defences, but the exact score prediction is fragile due to the possibility of more goals.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for ST Mirren and 40% for Motherwell.
  • Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 30% for Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for ST Mirren and 40% for Motherwell.

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Neutral
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Wins if the match contains at least three total goals.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams have shown scoring ability against vulnerable defences.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Motherwell Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because both teams have shown scoring ability against vulnerable defences, but the exact score prediction is fragile due to the possibility of more goals. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for ST Mirren and 40% for Motherwell. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines evidence

Both teams have shown scoring ability against vulnerable defences, but the exact score prediction is fragile due.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for ST Mirren and 40% for Motherwell.

Motherwell Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.8 for ST Mirren and 1 for Motherwell are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins if the match contains at least three total goals, trading the precision of the exact-score market for a wider set of winning scorelines notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ST Mirren0.8
Avg goals scored
Motherwell1
ST Mirren2.2
Avg goals conceded
Motherwell1.8
ST Mirren60%
BTTS rate
Motherwell40%
ST Mirren60%
Over 2.5 goals
Motherwell40%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ST Mirren

LDWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
31 Oct 2026A Motherwell0-1
28 Oct 2026H Hibernian1-1
24 Oct 2026H Dundee2-1
17 Oct 2026A Aberdeen1-3
10 Oct 2026A Heart Of Midlothian0-5

Motherwell

WDLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
31 Oct 2026H ST Mirren1-0
28 Oct 2026A ST Johnstone2-2
25 Oct 2026H Heart Of Midlothian0-2
17 Oct 2026A Kilmarnock2-3
11 Oct 2026H Celtic0-2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%ST Mirren Over 2.5
40%Motherwell Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: ST Mirren sit at 60% and Motherwell sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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