ST Mirren
MotherwellPremiership | Sun 30 Aug, 15:00
ST Mirren v Motherwell Stats
Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 21:02 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
ST Mirren face Motherwell in Premiership on Sun 30 Aug, 15:00. St Mirren vs Motherwell: Clean-Sheet Form Meets a Difficult Recent Fixture Record. St Mirren and Motherwell arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result. Motherwell’s high possession has not translated into shots, matching St Mirren’s defensive solidity.
Under 2
- At 20/23, Under 2 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
- While Killian Phillips has provided crucial individual moments with four goals across that 10-game sample, Saints are not creating high volumes of chances.
- The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for ST Mirren and 50% for Motherwell, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
- ST Mirren are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Motherwell at 1.
- BTTS rates of 0% for ST Mirren and 50% for Motherwell show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 66% for Under 2 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for ST Mirren and 50% for Motherwell, so the goals angle is not just a price call. While Killian Phillips has provided crucial individual moments with four goals across that 10-game sample, Saints are not creating high volumes of chances.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Under 2.5 Goals. ST Mirren are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Motherwell at 1. Risk Factor: Early goals could open the match beyond two total goals due to St Mirren's cup loss and Motherwell's European concession.
Risk Factor: Early goals could open the match beyond two total goals due to St Mirren's cup loss and Motherwell's European concession.
Key Data Signals
Under 2 evidence
Selection: Under 2.5 Goals.
ST Mirren are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Motherwell at 1.
BTTS rates of 0% for ST Mirren and 50% for Motherwell show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2 notes
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
ST Mirren
Motherwell
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Premiership
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ST Mirren | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
