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ST Mirren crestST Mirren
v
East Kilbride crestEast Kilbride

League Cup | Tue 21 Jul, 19:45

ST Mirren v East Kilbride Stats

Data last updated: Mon 20 Jul 2026, 04:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Mirren face East Kilbride in a League Cup clash where both teams have shown attacking intent in their recent outings. ST Mirren have scored 4 goals in their last matches without conceding, while East Kilbride average over 3 goals scored per game but have also conceded twice. Both sides have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rates recently, indicating an open game with multiple scoring opportunities expected. The match promises a lively tempo as both teams look to assert control early in the competition.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • ST Mirren have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • East Kilbride also maintain a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing attacking consistency.
  • ST Mirren have kept clean sheets recently but still contribute to high-scoring games.
  • East Kilbride's matches see an average of over 3 goals scored per game, highlighting offensive potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a strong 77.5% chance, supported by both teams' recent high-scoring matches and aggressive attacking styles. ST Mirren's defensive solidity contrasts with East Kilbride's openness, suggesting multiple goal opportunities. The consistent Over 2.5 Goals rates for both sides reinforce the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter. No price warnings apply, making this a straightforward value pick based on form and attacking metrics.

Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rates100% for both teams
Strong positive
Average Goals ScoredST Mirren 4, East Kilbride 3.33
Strong positive
Defensive RecordsST Mirren 0 goals conceded recently, East Kilbride 2 conceded
Neutral
Model Confidence77.5% chance for Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking League Cup fixture as ST Mirren and East Kilbride both show strong recent scoring form. The combination of ST Mirren's offensive output and East Kilbride's goal-scoring consistency suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible selection. Tactical openness and willingness to attack should drive a lively match with multiple goals.

Main risk

The main risk is that ST Mirren's recent clean sheets could indicate a tighter defensive approach, potentially limiting the total goals despite the attacking form of both teams.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent and scoring ability recently, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle. ST Mirren's defensive discipline paired with East Kilbride's offensive freedom sets up an intriguing balance that favors a goal-rich contest.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

ST Mirren have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

East Kilbride also maintain a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing attacking consistency.

ST Mirren have kept clean sheets recently but still contribute to high-scoring games.

East Kilbride's matches see an average of over 3 goals scored per game, highlighting offensive potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last matches, both teams have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a strong trend towards high-scoring games.
  • This suggests a fast tempo with attacking transitions and defensive gaps likely to produce multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ST Mirren4
Avg goals scored
East Kilbride3.33
ST Mirren0
Avg goals conceded
East Kilbride2
ST Mirren0%
BTTS rate
East Kilbride67%
ST Mirren100%
Over 2.5 goals
East Kilbride100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 74% · edge +4 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Both teams have consistently featured in matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with East Kilbride showing a 67% BTTS rate and ST Mirren's matches often finishing with multiple goals. This suggests a game where goals are likely from both sides or at least in abundance overall.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 74% · edge +4 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
East Kilbride Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
7
Check odds @ 7
East Kilbride to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
15
Check odds @ 15
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
7
Check odds @ 7
ST Mirren Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
ST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
The Over 2.5 Goals market is well supported by a 77.5% , reflecting strong recent scoring trends for both teams. The price is reasonable with no warnings, indicating a balanced value opportunity based on attacking momentum and defensive openness.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ST Mirren

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
18 Jul 2026A Cove Rangers4-0
11 Jul 2026A Dumbarton4-0

East Kilbride

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
18 Jul 2026H Dumbarton5-3
14 Jul 2026A Cove Rangers2-3
11 Jul 2026H Dunfermline3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 21% · edge +30.2 pts
4.77
Check odds @ 4.77
Load more odds for this section
East Kilbride Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
7
Check odds @ 7
East Kilbride to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
15
Check odds @ 15
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
7
Check odds @ 7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
ST Mirren Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
ST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Recent form strongly supports Over 2.5 Goals as both teams have maintained perfect records for matches exceeding this threshold. ST Mirren's clean sheets coexist with high goal totals, while East Kilbride's games consistently feature multiple goals, indicating a lively encounter ahead.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0ST Mirren wins
1Draws
0East Kilbride wins
20 Jul 2019East Kilbride v ST Mirren0-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 74% · edge +4 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
East Kilbride to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
15
Check odds @ 15
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
7
Check odds @ 7
ST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
The single previous meeting between ST Mirren and East Kilbride ended with no goals, which is an outlier compared to recent form. This limited head-to-head sample suggests current attacking trends and team form are more relevant indicators for this match outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Cup

ST Mirren2
Played
East Kilbride3
ST Mirren4
Avg goals for
East Kilbride3.3
ST Mirren0
Avg goals against
East Kilbride2
ST Mirren2
Clean sheets
East Kilbride1
Best odds for this sectionEast Kilbride Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 14% · edge +27.7 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
East Kilbride to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
15
Check odds @ 15
ST Mirren Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
ST Mirren to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Season-long data shows both teams have potent attacks, with ST Mirren scoring 4 goals recently and East Kilbride averaging over 3 goals per game. Defensive records are mixed, supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring match consistent with Over 2.5 Goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%ST Mirren Over 2.5
100%East Kilbride Over 2.5
0H2H avg goals
Over the last matches, both teams have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a strong trend towards high-scoring games. This suggests a fast tempo with attacking transitions and defensive gaps likely to produce multiple goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.