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Ross County crestRoss County
v
Dundee crestDundee

League Cup | Tue 21 Jul, 19:45

Ross County v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Mon 20 Jul 2026, 04:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ross County and Dundee meet in the League Cup opener, both sides showing attacking intent early in the season. Ross County have scored 3.5 goals per game recently with a perfect record of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Dundee have netted 4.5 goals per game, also with all recent matches going over 2.5 goals. Defensively, both teams have conceded just one goal per game, suggesting open matches with goal-scoring opportunities. The fixture promises an entertaining contest with offensive momentum on both sides, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Ross County's last matches all exceeded 2.5 goals, scoring 3.5 goals per game.
  • Dundee also have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, averaging 4.5 goals scored per game.
  • Both teams concede around 1 goal per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 over the last 10 meetings, supporting goal potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a strong 78% chance based on recent attacking form from both Ross County and Dundee. Both teams have consistently produced high-scoring matches, with Ross County's perfect over 2.5 rate and Dundee's potent offense combining to suggest a lively game. Defensive records show some openness, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, supporting in this selection as a standard stake.

Ross County recent scoring3.5 goals per game, 100% over 2.5 rate
Strong positive
Dundee recent scoring4.5 goals per game, 100% over 2.5 rate
Strong positive
Defensive concessions1 goal per game each
Positive
H2H average goals2.7 goals per game over 10 matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Ross County and Dundee have shown strong offensive form recently. The goal averages and perfect over 2.5 records indicate a lively match with multiple goals likely. This bet aligns well with the teams' current momentum and attacking styles.

Main risk

The main risk is that both teams might adopt a cautious approach early in the League Cup, limiting goal-scoring chances despite recent attacking trends.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Ross County and Dundee have demonstrated clear attacking intent, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice given their recent scoring rates and defensive openness.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Ross County's last matches all exceeded 2.5 goals, scoring 3.5 goals per game.

Dundee also have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, averaging 4.5 goals scored per game.

Both teams concede around 1 goal per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 over the last 10 meetings, supporting goal potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, supporting the trend for matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This sample suggests a history of open games with attacking intent from both sides, aligning with recent form and reinforcing the goal expectation for this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ross County3.5
Avg goals scored
Dundee4.5
Ross County1
Avg goals conceded
Dundee1
Ross County100%
BTTS rate
Dundee50%
Ross County100%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 61% · edge +17.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have consistently produced high-scoring matches recently, with Ross County and Dundee each maintaining a 100% over 2.5 goals rate. Ross County's perfect BTTS rate contrasts with Dundee's 50%, suggesting Ross County's matches often see goals at both ends, while Dundee's games may occasionally see one side shut out. Overall, goal-scoring is expected to be lively.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 61% · edge +17.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Dundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Dundee to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Ross County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Ross County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The Over 2.5 Goals market reflects the strong attacking trends from both sides, with the at 78% indicating a favorable probability. Without visible , this is a standard stake recommendation based on solid data rather than a value bet. Any shortening would increase , while longer might offer better value.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ross County

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
18 Jul 2026H Clyde3-1
11 Jul 2026A Annan Athletic4-1

Dundee

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
14 Jul 2026A Annan Athletic5-0
11 Jul 2026H Airdrie United4-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 74% · edge +2.7 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Dundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Dundee to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Ross County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Ross County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form strongly supports Over 2.5 Goals, with both Ross County and Dundee winning 6 points in their last matches and scoring multiple goals. Their perfect over 2.5 rates underline consistent offensive productivity, making a high-scoring game probable based on current momentum.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Ross County wins
2Draws
2Dundee wins
14 May 2025Dundee v Ross County1-1
22 Feb 2025Ross County v Dundee3-1
26 Dec 2024Dundee v Ross County0-3
14 Sep 2024Ross County v Dundee2-0
17 Feb 2024Dundee v Ross County2-0
16 Dec 2023Ross County v Dundee0-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 61% · edge +17.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Dundee to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Ross County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.7 goals per game, indicating a history of relatively high-scoring encounters. While not overwhelmingly high, this average supports the expectation of multiple goals and aligns with the teams' recent offensive performances.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Cup

Ross County2
Played
Dundee2
Ross County3.5
Avg goals for
Dundee4.5
Ross County1
Avg goals against
Dundee1
Ross County0
Clean sheets
Dundee1
Best odds for this sectionDundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 62% · edge -3.5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Dundee to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Ross County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Ross County to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Season-long attacking statistics reinforce the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals, as both teams have maintained high goal averages and relatively porous defenses. This balance between scoring and conceding creates conditions conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Ross County Over 2.5
100%Dundee Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, supporting the trend for matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This sample suggests a history of open games with attacking intent from both sides, aligning with recent form and reinforcing the goal expectation for this match.

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