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St. Louis City crestSt. Louis City
v
Vancouver Whitecaps crestVancouver Whitecaps

Major League Soccer | Thu 15 Oct, 01:30

St. Louis City v Vancouver Whitecaps Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Louis City face Vancouver Whitecaps in Major League Soccer on Thu 15 Oct, 01:30. Louis City come in with 13 recent points and 3.6 goals per match, while Vancouver Whitecaps have 5 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

St. Louis City to Win

  • Louis City to Win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Louis City have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Vancouver Whitecaps.
  • Louis City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the St. Louis City to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Louis City sit 2 in the table, while Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Louis City to Win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. Louis City have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Strong positive
Louis City have the stronger recent points return, taking 13.Visible data support
Positive
Louis City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: St. Louis City Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Louis City have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Vancouver Whitecaps. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

St. Louis City to Win evidence

Louis City have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Louis City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the St. Louis City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Louis City sit 2 in the table, while Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

St. Louis City to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    St. Louis City3.6
    Avg goals scored
    Vancouver Whitecaps1.8
    St. Louis City1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Vancouver Whitecaps1.8
    St. Louis City80%
    BTTS rate
    Vancouver Whitecaps80%
    St. Louis City100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Vancouver Whitecaps80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 68% · edge +10.4 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Major League Soccer hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSt. Louis City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    St. Louis City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Louis City to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    St. Louis City

    WWWWD
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 3D 0L
    12 Oct 2026H Los Angeles Galaxy6-2
    01 Oct 2026A New York Red Bulls3-0
    20 Sep 2026H Toronto FC3-1
    13 Sep 2026H Minnesota United FC4-2
    10 Sep 2026A Portland Timbers2-2

    Vancouver Whitecaps

    DLDWL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    11 Oct 2026A Los Angeles FC1-1
    07 Oct 2026A Chicago Fire1-3
    27 Sep 2026H DC United3-3
    20 Sep 2026A Real Salt Lake3-0
    13 Sep 2026H Austin1-2
    Market aligned with main pickSt. Louis City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    St. Louis City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%St. Louis City Over 2.5
    80%Vancouver Whitecaps Over 2.5
    3.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: St. Louis City sit at 100% and Vancouver Whitecaps sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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