ST Johnstone
HibernianPremiership | Sat 20 Mar, 15:00
ST Johnstone v Hibernian Stats
Data last updated: Sun 15 Nov 2026, 00:17 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
ST Johnstone face Hibernian in Premiership on Sat 20 Mar, 15:00. They have taken only four points from four league matches and arrive without a win in three, yet McDiarmid Park has remained a far more reassuring setting than their recent away programme.
Over 2
- At 20/23, Over 2 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
- Over 2.5 Goals is supported by Hibernian’s consistent high-scoring matches and St Johnstone’s defensive record conceding 1.5 goals per game.
- The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for ST Johnstone and 60% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
- ST Johnstone are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Hibernian at 1.4.
- BTTS rates of 80% for ST Johnstone and 60% for Hibernian show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 60% for Over 2 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for ST Johnstone and 60% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Over 2.5 Goals is supported by Hibernian’s consistent high-scoring matches and St Johnstone’s defensive record conceding 1.5 goals per game.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because over 2.5 Goals is supported by Hibernian’s consistent high-scoring matches and St Johnstone’s defensive record conceding that scoring level per game. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for ST Johnstone and 60% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Key Data Signals
Over 2 evidence
Over 2.5 Goals is supported by Hibernian’s consistent high-scoring matches and St Johnstone’s defensive record conceding 1.
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for ST Johnstone and 60% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
ST Johnstone are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Hibernian at 1.4.
BTTS rates of 80% for ST Johnstone and 60% for Hibernian show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 2 notes
- Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
ST Johnstone
Hibernian
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Loading deeper match data…
