ST Johnstone
HibernianPremiership | Sun 06 Sep, 15:00
ST Johnstone v Hibernian Stats
Data last updated: Thu 01 Oct 2026, 03:35 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
ST Johnstone face Hibernian in Premiership on Sun 06 Sep, 15:00. They have taken only four points from four league matches and arrive without a win in three, yet McDiarmid Park has remained a far more reassuring setting than their recent away programme.
Over 2
- At 20/23, Over 2 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
- Over 2.5 Goals is supported by Hibernian’s consistent high-scoring matches and St Johnstone’s defensive record conceding 1.5 goals per game.
- The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for ST Johnstone and 100% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
- ST Johnstone are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Hibernian at 1.5.
- BTTS rates of 75% for ST Johnstone and 100% for Hibernian show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 68% for Over 2 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for ST Johnstone and 100% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Over 2.5 Goals is supported by Hibernian’s consistent high-scoring matches and St Johnstone’s defensive record conceding 1.5 goals per game.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because over 2.5 Goals is supported by Hibernian’s consistent high-scoring matches and St Johnstone’s defensive record conceding that scoring level per game. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for ST Johnstone and 100% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Key Data Signals
Over 2 evidence
Over 2.5 Goals is supported by Hibernian’s consistent high-scoring matches and St Johnstone’s defensive record conceding 1.
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for ST Johnstone and 100% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
ST Johnstone are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Hibernian at 1.5.
BTTS rates of 75% for ST Johnstone and 100% for Hibernian show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 2 notes
- Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
ST Johnstone
Hibernian
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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