Football Stats Hub

ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone
v
East Fife crestEast Fife

League Cup | Sat 25 Jul, 15:00

ST Johnstone v East Fife Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 05:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Johnstone and East Fife meet in the League Cup on a summer afternoon, both sides showing cautious attacking output in recent matches. ST Johnstone have conceded just 0.33 goals per game while scoring 1.67, reflecting a solid defensive approach. East Fife, with a slightly higher scoring rate but also a modest concession rate, appear balanced but not overly aggressive. The early season stakes and tactical setups suggest a measured tempo with neither side pushing for high-scoring exchanges, setting the stage for a low-scoring contest.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • ST Johnstone concede only 0.33 goals per game, indicating strong defensive form
  • East Fife score 2 goals per game but concede only 0.67, suggesting balanced play
  • Both teams have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate of 33%, supporting a low-scoring outlook
  • Recent matches show ST Johnstone have 0% BTTS rate, East Fife 67%, indicating defensive solidity for the home side
  • H2H average goals stand at 3 across 3 matches, but recent form favors fewer goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 61.1% probability, supported by ST Johnstone's strong defensive record conceding only 0.33 goals per game and East Fife's moderate scoring combined with a solid defense. Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates at 33%, reflecting a trend toward tighter matches. The recent form data and defensive solidity suggest a controlled game with limited goal-scoring opportunities. No price warnings apply, making this a standard pick based on defensive strengths and cautious early-season tactics.

ST Johnstone Defensive Strength0.33 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
East Fife Balanced Attack and Defense2 goals scored, 0.67 conceded per game
Positive
Low Over 2.5 Goals Rate33% for both teams
Positive
Recent BTTS Rates0% ST Johnstone, 67% East Fife
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given ST Johnstone's strong defensive record and East Fife's balanced but cautious approach. The tactical setup and recent form data point to a tightly contested match with limited goal-scoring, making a low-scoring outcome the most probable scenario.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals rationale

“This fixture features two teams that prioritize defensive organization early in the season, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical expectation. ST Johnstone's disciplined backline and East Fife's moderate attacking threat suggest a match where goals will be at a premium.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

ST Johnstone concede only 0.33 goals per game, indicating strong defensive form

East Fife score 2 goals per game but concede only 0.67, suggesting balanced play

Recent matches show ST Johnstone have 0% BTTS rate, East Fife 67%, indicating defensive solidity for the home side

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, which is slightly above the Under 2.5 threshold.
  • However, recent form and defensive stats suggest a shift toward fewer goals.
  • The trend over recent matches indicates a controlled tempo with limited goal-scoring chances, supporting a cautious approach to Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ST Johnstone1.67
Avg goals scored
East Fife2
ST Johnstone0.33
Avg goals conceded
East Fife0.67
ST Johnstone0%
BTTS rate
East Fife67%
ST Johnstone33%
Over 2.5 goals
East Fife33%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
2
Check odds @ 2
Goal trends show ST Johnstone's defensive resilience with only 0.33 goals conceded per game and a 0% BTTS rate, while East Fife's 2 goals per game and 67% BTTS rate suggest they can score but also keep matches relatively tight. Both teams have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate of 33%, supporting a low-scoring game with limited goal exchanges.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ST Johnstone

LWW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
21 Jul 2026A Inverness CT0-1
18 Jul 2026H Morton3-0
14 Jul 2026A Linlithgow Rose2-0

East Fife

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
21 Jul 2026H Linlithgow Rose3-1
14 Jul 2026H Morton2-0
11 Jul 2026A Inverness CT1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.62
Check odds @ 4.62
Load more odds for this section
East Fife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
East Fife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
ST Johnstone Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
ST Johnstone to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Recent form shows ST Johnstone with 6 points and a strong defensive record conceding just 0.33 goals per game, reflecting a disciplined approach. East Fife have 7 points with a higher scoring rate but also concede more, indicating a slightly more open style. Both teams' low Over 2.5 Goals rates of 33% reinforce the expectation of a low-scoring match shaped by cautious tactics.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.2 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
East Fife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
East Fife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
ST Johnstone Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
ST Johnstone to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
The Under 2.5 Goals market reflects a reasonable probability aligned with the model's 61.1% chance, indicating a standard level without strong value or price sensitivity. The likely mirror the defensive solidity of ST Johnstone and East Fife's moderate scoring, making this a balanced market rather than a value-driven opportunity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

ST Johnstone2
Avg corners for
East Fife-
ST Johnstone8
Avg total corners
East Fife-
ST Johnstone1
Avg yellow cards
East Fife-
ST Johnstone0
Avg shots
East Fife-

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2ST Johnstone wins
1Draws
0East Fife wins
27 Jul 2024ST Johnstone v East Fife5-1
11 Jul 2023East Fife v ST Johnstone0-3
14 Jul 2018ST Johnstone v East Fife0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.2 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
East Fife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
ST Johnstone to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
The three previous meetings between ST Johnstone and East Fife have averaged 3 goals per game, indicating a moderately open historical trend. However, current defensive form and early-season tactics suggest this fixture may see fewer goals than past encounters, making the historical data a background factor rather than a decisive influence.
Season team stats

League Cup

ST Johnstone3
Played
East Fife3
ST Johnstone1.7
Avg goals for
East Fife2
ST Johnstone0.3
Avg goals against
East Fife1
ST Johnstone2
Clean sheets
East Fife1
Best odds for this sectionEast Fife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
East Fife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
ST Johnstone Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
ST Johnstone to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Season-long statistics reveal ST Johnstone's defensive strength with minimal goals conceded, supporting Under 2.5 Goals. East Fife's balanced scoring and conceding rates suggest matches are competitive but not high scoring. The teams' similar Over 2.5 Goals rates at 33% underline a trend toward tighter games, reinforcing the low-goal outlook for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%ST Johnstone Over 2.5
33%East Fife Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, which is slightly above the Under 2.5 threshold. However, recent form and defensive stats suggest a shift toward fewer goals. The trend over recent matches indicates a controlled tempo with limited goal-scoring chances, supporting a cautious approach to Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Hamilton Academical v Elgin CityLeague Cup · Sat 25 Jul 15:00Aberdeen v Kelty HeartsLeague Cup · Sat 25 Jul 15:00Dundee v ClydeLeague Cup · Sat 25 Jul 15:00Dumbarton v Cove RangersLeague Cup · Sat 25 Jul 15:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets research

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre