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Aberdeen crestAberdeen
v
Kelty Hearts crestKelty Hearts

League Cup | Sat 25 Jul, 15:00

Aberdeen v Kelty Hearts Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 07:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aberdeen face Kelty Hearts in League Cup on Sat 25 Jul, 15:00. Aberdeen come in with 9 recent points and 2.67 goals per match, while Kelty Hearts have 4 points and 1.33 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.8, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 71%.
  • Aberdeen show a 67% BTTS rate and Kelty Hearts show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Aberdeen average 2.67 goals scored and Kelty Hearts average 1.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 71% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Aberdeen show a 67% BTTS rate and Kelty Hearts show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price71% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Strong positive
Aberdeen show a 67% BTTS rate and Kelty Hearts show.Visible data support
Positive
Aberdeen average 2.67 goals scored and Kelty Hearts average 1.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Aberdeen show a 67% BTTS rate and Kelty Hearts show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Aberdeen show a 67% BTTS rate and Kelty Hearts show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Aberdeen average 2.67 goals scored and Kelty Hearts average 1.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aberdeen2.67
Avg goals scored
Kelty Hearts1.33
Aberdeen0.67
Avg goals conceded
Kelty Hearts1.67
Aberdeen67%
BTTS rate
Kelty Hearts67%
Aberdeen67%
Over 2.5 goals
Kelty Hearts33%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Kelty Hearts to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Aberdeen to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aberdeen

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
22 Jul 2026A Queen of the South4-1
18 Jul 2026H Queen's Park2-1
14 Jul 2026A Brora Rangers2-0

Kelty Hearts

WLD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
21 Jul 2026H Brora Rangers3-2
14 Jul 2026H Queen's Park0-2
11 Jul 2026A Queen of the South1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
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Kelty Hearts to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
Aberdeen to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Aberdeen Over 2.5
33%Kelty Hearts Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Aberdeen sit at 67% and Kelty Hearts sit at 33%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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