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ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone
v
Celtic crestCeltic

Premiership | Wed 09 Sep, 20:00

ST Johnstone v Celtic Stats

Data last updated: Wed 30 Sep 2026, 07:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Johnstone face Celtic in Premiership on Wed 09 Sep, 20:00. Josh Fowler has scored four of St Johnstone’s eight league goals. Celtic’s dominant attack and consistent wins face a St Johnstone defence conceding 4.2 shots on target per game.

BT4Y best bet

Celtic to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 17/10, Celtic to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • A 3-1 score fits Celtic’s strong attack and St Johnstone’s home scoring, with Celtic conceding in five away matches and key defensive absences.
  • Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show ST Johnstone on 7 and Celtic on 15.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for ST Johnstone and 60% for Celtic.
  • Celtic to win and Both Teams to Score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.6 for ST Johnstone and 2.6 for Celtic are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for Celtic to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show ST Johnstone on 7 and Celtic on 15. A 3-1 score fits Celtic’s strong attack and St Johnstone’s home scoring, with Celtic conceding in five away matches and key defensive absences.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Positive
Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
A 3-1 score fits Celtic’s strong attack and St.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Celtic Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because a 3-1 score fits Celtic’s strong attack and St Johnstone’s home scoring, with Celtic conceding in five away matches and key defensive absences. Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show ST Johnstone on 7 and Celtic on 15. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Celtic to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

A 3-1 score fits Celtic’s strong attack and St Johnstone’s home scoring, with Celtic conceding in five away.

Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show ST Johnstone on 7 and Celtic on 15.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for ST Johnstone and 60% for Celtic.

Celtic Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.6 for ST Johnstone and 2.6 for Celtic are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Celtic to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ST Johnstone1.6
Avg goals scored
Celtic2.6
ST Johnstone1.6
Avg goals conceded
Celtic0.6
ST Johnstone80%
BTTS rate
Celtic60%
ST Johnstone60%
Over 2.5 goals
Celtic80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 69% · edge +1 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Celtic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Celtic to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ST Johnstone

WDLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Hibernian2-1
02 Sep 2026A Dundee1-1
29 Aug 2026A Heart Of Midlothian1-2
08 Aug 2026A ST Mirren0-1
02 Aug 2026H Kilmarnock4-3

Celtic

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 0L
05 Sep 2026A ST Mirren2-1
02 Sep 2026H Aberdeen3-0
29 Aug 2026H Falkirk2-1
09 Aug 2026A Kilmarnock5-1
03 Aug 2026H Dundee1-0
Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 69% · edge +1 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Celtic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%ST Johnstone Over 2.5
80%Celtic Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: ST Johnstone sit at 60% and Celtic sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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