Sporting CP

Vitória SC

Primeira Liga | Fri 14 Aug, 20:15

Sporting CP v Vitória SC Stats

Data last updated: Thu 13 Aug 2026, 06:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sporting CP hosts Vitória SC in this early Primeira Liga fixture, with Sporting CP eager to bounce back after a narrow opening day loss. Vitória SC, newly promoted and yet to earn points, will look to frustrate the home side and capitalize on counterattacks. Sporting CP's attacking style, combined with Vitória SC's defensive vulnerabilities and willingness to press forward, sets the stage for an open game where both teams have clear incentives to find the net. Tactical discipline and finishing efficiency will be key in this contest under Friday night lights.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

Sporting CP has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches, indicating open play.
Vitória SC has struggled to score but concedes regularly, suggesting vulnerability at the back.
Both teams have shown contrasting over/under 2.5 goal rates, with Sporting CP at 100% over 2.5 and Vitória SC at 0%.
Head-to-head matches average 4.1 goals, supporting a high-scoring encounter.
Player data shows multiple Sporting CP attackers with strong shot and goal threat metrics.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, significantly above the implied market probability of 51.3%, indicating positive value at 1.95 . Sporting CP's recent matches have consistently featured goals at both ends, while Vitória SC's defensive record suggests they are likely to concede. Despite Vitória SC's scoring struggles, their defensive lapses and willingness to attack create opportunities for Sporting CP to concede as well. The model is high at 84%, reflecting strong data signals and tactical context favoring BTTS. No price warnings apply, supporting a standard stake approach.

Model Chance66.7%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance51.3%

Positive

Value Edge15.4%

Strong positive

Recent Form BTTS Rate (Sporting CP)100%

Strong positive

Recent Form BTTS Rate (Vitória SC)0%

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams to score is a tactically sound pick given Sporting CP's attacking intent and Vitória SC's defensive frailties. Sporting CP's high shot volume and goal threat players increase scoring chances, while Vitória SC's need to push forward for points may expose them at the back, making BTTS a compelling selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Sporting CP's offensive firepower combined with Vitória SC's defensive openness creates a classic scenario for both teams to find the net. The data strongly supports this outcome as a key angle for bettors.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sporting CP has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches, indicating open play.

Vitória SC has struggled to score but concedes regularly, suggesting vulnerability at the back.

Head-to-head matches average 4.1 goals, supporting a high-scoring encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 4.1, indicating a high-scoring trend.
Sporting CP's 100% over 2.5 rate contrasts with Vitória SC's 0%, suggesting Sporting CP drives the tempo and goal volume, creating conditions for multiple goals in this match.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sporting CP2

Avg goals scored

Vitória SC0

Sporting CP2

Avg goals conceded

Vitória SC1

Sporting CP100%

BTTS rate

Vitória SC0%

Sporting CP100%

Over 2.5 goals

Vitória SC0%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%

2.6

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Sporting CP's recent matches have all featured goals at both ends, while Vitória SC concedes regularly despite scoring less. The high average of 4.1 goals in their last 10 head-to-heads further supports an open game with goals from both sides, aligning well with the BTTS selection.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Vitória SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

Vitória SC to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%

Check odds @ 10

DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

Sporting CP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.95 with a of 66.7%, indicating clear value. The 15.4% positive suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, making this a strong price to back with standard stakes.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sporting CP4

Avg corners for

Vitória SC-

Sporting CP9

Avg total corners

Vitória SC-

Sporting CP2

Avg yellow cards

Vitória SC-

Sporting CP15

Avg shots

Vitória SC-

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts

1.8

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Sporting CP averages 15 shots and 8 on target per game, showing offensive pressure, while Vitória SC's 24 shots but fewer on target suggest less clinical finishing. Both teams average similar corners and yellow cards, indicating a balanced contest with sustained attacking phases and moderate fouling.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sporting CP

Last 50W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 0L

08 Aug 2026A Estrela2-2

Vitória SC

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

08 Aug 2026H Arouca0-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts

3.75

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Vitória SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

Vitória SC to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%

Check odds @ 10

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%

1.06

Check odds @ 1.06

DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Sporting CP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Sporting CP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Sporting CP has scored and conceded in their recent matches, maintaining a 100% BTTS rate, reflecting an open style. Vitória SC has yet to score but has conceded, indicating defensive weaknesses that Sporting CP can exploit, reinforcing the BTTS likelihood.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Sporting CP wins

1Draws

2Vitória SC wins

04 May 2026Sporting CP v Vitória SC5-1

06 Jan 2026Sporting CP v Vitória SC1-2

23 Dec 2025Vitória SC v Sporting CP1-4

17 May 2025Sporting CP v Vitória SC2-0

03 Jan 2025Vitória SC v Sporting CP4-4

21 Apr 2024Sporting CP v Vitória SC3-0

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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Vitória SC to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%

Check odds @ 10

DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

Sporting CP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

The last 10 meetings between Sporting CP and Vitória SC have averaged 4.1 goals per game, demonstrating a history of open, attacking encounters. This trend supports the expectation that both teams will score, although Vitória SC's recent scoring struggles temper this slightly.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Sporting CP2

Played

Vitória SC1

Sporting CP2.5

Avg goals for

Vitória SC0

Sporting CP2

Avg goals against

Vitória SC1

Sporting CP0

Clean sheets

Vitória SC0

Best odds for this sectionVitória SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

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Vitória SC to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%

Check odds @ 10

Sporting CP Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Sporting CP to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Sporting CP's season stats show a strong attack with consistent goal scoring and conceding, while Vitória SC's defensive record is less robust, conceding frequently. This contrast supports the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1	Sporting CP	4	2	1	1	0	1
17	Vitória SC	0	2	0	0	2	-2

Sporting CP sits comfortably in 5th place with early points, motivated to maintain momentum. Vitória SC, near the bottom, faces pressure to improve results, likely encouraging attacking risks that could lead to goals conceded, supporting the BTTS angle.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Sporting CP Over 2.5

0%Vitória SC Over 2.5

4.1H2H avg goals

Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 4.1, indicating a high-scoring trend. Sporting CP's 100% over 2.5 rate contrasts with Vitória SC's 0%, suggesting Sporting CP drives the tempo and goal volume, creating conditions for multiple goals in this match.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Sporting CP v Vitória SC Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Sporting CP

Vitória SC

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Football Stats Hub

Sporting CP v Vitória SC Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Sporting CP

Vitória SC

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