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Sport Recife crestSport Recife
v
Cuiaba crestCuiaba

Serie B | Mon 27 Jul, 23:30

Sport Recife v Cuiaba Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 21:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sport Recife face Cuiaba in Serie B on Mon 27 Jul, 23:30. Cuiabá have scored 14 league goals, exactly ten fewer than Sport’s total of 24 after the same number of matches. Sport Recife’s unbeaten home run and superior goal tally contrast with Cuiabá’s poor away form and limited scoring.

BT4Y match pick

Under 2

  • At 1/2, Under 2 implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Goiás registered 15 shots but also managed only three on target.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Sport Recife and 40% for Cuiaba, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Sport Recife are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Cuiaba at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Sport Recife and 40% for Cuiaba show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2 sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Sport Recife and 40% for Cuiaba, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Goiás registered 15 shots but also managed only three on target.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Sport Recife.Visible data support
Positive
Sport Recife are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Goiás registered 15 shots but also managed only three.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because sport Recife’s frequent draws and recent defensive lapses suggest a low-scoring, tight contest is likely. Sport Recife are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Cuiaba at 1. Sport Recife carry the stronger scoring threat, but Cuiabá must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Sport Recife carry the stronger scoring threat, but Cuiabá must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Sport Recife’s frequent draws and recent defensive lapses suggest a low-scoring, tight contest is likely.

Sport Recife are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Cuiaba at 1.

BTTS rates of 80% for Sport Recife and 40% for Cuiaba show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sport Recife5.2
Avg corners for
Cuiaba7.2
Sport Recife8.4
Avg total corners
Cuiaba9.8
Sport Recife2.6
Avg yellow cards
Cuiaba2.6
Sport Recife16
Avg shots
Cuiaba15.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 52% · edge +3.8 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Cuiaba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Cuiaba to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Sport Recife to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sport Recife

DDDLL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 6D 2L
23 Jul 2026A Goias1-1
18 Jul 2026H Operario-PR2-2
11 Jul 2026H Botafogo SP3-3
04 Jul 2026A Criciuma0-1
28 Jun 2026A Fortaleza EC1-2

Cuiaba

LLDWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
24 Jul 2026H Atletico Goianiense0-1
17 Jul 2026A Juventude0-2
12 Jul 2026A São Bernardo2-2
03 Jul 2026H America Mineiro1-0
26 Jun 2026H Londrina2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Cuiaba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Cuiaba to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Sport Recife to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sport Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sport Recife1.4
Avg goals scored
Cuiaba1
Sport Recife1.8
Avg goals conceded
Cuiaba1.4
Sport Recife80%
BTTS rate
Cuiaba40%
Sport Recife60%
Over 2.5 goals
Cuiaba40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 67% · edge -0.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Sport Recife and 40% for Cuiaba, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Sport Recife wins
3Draws
1Cuiaba wins
21 Mar 2026Cuiaba v Sport Recife0-0
14 Oct 2021Cuiaba v Sport Recife1-0
28 Jun 2021Sport Recife v Cuiaba0-0
15 Oct 2019Sport Recife v Cuiaba2-0
16 Jul 2019Cuiaba v Sport Recife1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Cuiaba to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Sport Recife to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Sport Recife352281138
14Cuiaba292261152
Season team stats

Serie B

Sport Recife22
Played
Cuiaba22
Sport Recife1.3
Avg goals for
Cuiaba0.9
Sport Recife0.9
Avg goals against
Cuiaba0.8
Sport Recife8
Clean sheets
Cuiaba9
Best odds for this sectionCuiaba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Cuiaba to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Sport Recife to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sport Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Season data supports Cuiaba Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sport Recife Over 2.5
40%Cuiaba Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sport Recife sit at 60% and Cuiaba sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Sport Recife v Cuiaba prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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