Sparta Rotterdam

PEC Zwolle

Eredivisie | Fri 04 Sep, 19:00

Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 10:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sparta Rotterdam face PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie on Fri 04 Sep, 19:00. Sparta have conceded an average of 2.2 goals across their last 10 league matches, despite allowing a lower 5.1 shots on target per game than Zwolle.

BT4Y best bet

Sparta Rotterdam to win and both teams to score

Sparta Rotterdam to win and both teams to score is rated around 41% by the current BT4Y model.
Despite Sparta's defensive lapses, their greater goal output and Zwolle's scoring reliance make this a credible outcome.
Sparta Rotterdam need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sparta Rotterdam on 4 and PEC Zwolle on 3.
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 75% for Sparta Rotterdam and 50% for PEC Zwolle.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Sparta Rotterdam to win and both teams to score around 41% on the latest available numbers. Sparta Rotterdam need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sparta Rotterdam on 4 and PEC Zwolle on 3. Despite Sparta's defensive lapses, their greater goal output and Zwolle's scoring reliance make this a credible outcome.

Sparta Rotterdam need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support

Positive

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support

Positive

Despite Sparta's defensive lapses, their greater goal output.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sparta Rotterdam Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because despite Sparta's defensive lapses, their greater goal output and Zwolle's scoring reliance make this a credible outcome. Sparta Rotterdam need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sparta Rotterdam on 4 and PEC Zwolle on 3. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Sparta Rotterdam to win and both teams to score evidence

Despite Sparta's defensive lapses, their greater goal output and Zwolle's scoring reliance make this a credible outcome.

Sparta Rotterdam need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sparta Rotterdam on 4 and PEC Zwolle on 3.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 75% for Sparta Rotterdam and 50% for PEC Zwolle.

Sparta Rotterdam Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.75 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1 for PEC Zwolle are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sparta Rotterdam to win and both teams to score notes

Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sparta Rotterdam1.75

Avg goals scored

PEC Zwolle1

Sparta Rotterdam1.75

Avg goals conceded

PEC Zwolle2

Sparta Rotterdam75%

BTTS rate

PEC Zwolle50%

Sparta Rotterdam75%

Over 2.5 goals

PEC Zwolle50%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%

2.7

Check odds @ 2.7

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 29%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 75% for Sparta Rotterdam and 50% for PEC Zwolle, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

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Useful next reads

Eredivisie fixtures and predictions related match prediction corners trends hub player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4.1 pts

Check odds @ 2

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%

1.58

Check odds @ 1.58

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Sparta Rotterdam to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sparta Rotterdam4.75

Avg corners for

PEC Zwolle3.5

Sparta Rotterdam12.25

Avg total corners

PEC Zwolle10.5

Sparta Rotterdam1.25

Avg yellow cards

PEC Zwolle1.25

Sparta Rotterdam12.5

Avg shots

PEC Zwolle11

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sparta Rotterdam

LDWL

Last 51W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 2L

29 Aug 2026A Excelsior1-2

22 Aug 2026H Utrecht3-3

14 Aug 2026A Telstar3-1

09 Aug 2026H Feyenoord0-1

PEC Zwolle

LWLL

Last 51W 0D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 3L

29 Aug 2026H NEC Nijmegen1-3

22 Aug 2026A Heerenveen2-0

16 Aug 2026A Twente1-3

09 Aug 2026H Ajax0-2

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 81% vs implied 78% · edge +2.6 pts

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

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Sparta Rotterdam to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%

Check odds @ 2

Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%

1.58

Check odds @ 1.58

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Sparta Rotterdam wins

3Draws

3PEC Zwolle wins

08 Mar 2026Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle1-1

08 Nov 2025PEC Zwolle v Sparta Rotterdam1-0

15 Mar 2025Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle1-1

30 Nov 2024PEC Zwolle v Sparta Rotterdam1-0

04 Feb 2024Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle0-2

12 Aug 2023PEC Zwolle v Sparta Rotterdam1-2

Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4.1 pts

Check odds @ 2

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

The head-to-head sample gives context for Sparta Rotterdam to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam7

Played

PEC Zwolle7

Sparta Rotterdam1.4

Avg goals for

PEC Zwolle0.9

Sparta Rotterdam2.4

Avg goals against

PEC Zwolle2.9

Sparta Rotterdam0

Clean sheets

PEC Zwolle1

Market aligned with main pickSparta Rotterdam to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4.1 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Sparta Rotterdam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%

1.58

Check odds @ 1.58

Season data supports Sparta Rotterdam to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	7	1	2	4	-7
16	PEC Zwolle	4	7	1	1	5	-14

Sparta Rotterdam sit in position 12, while PEC Zwolle sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the Sparta Rotterdam to win and both teams to score assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Sparta Rotterdam Over 2.5

50%PEC Zwolle Over 2.5

2.4H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sparta Rotterdam sit at 75% and PEC Zwolle sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle Stats

Match Report

Sparta Rotterdam to win and both teams to score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Sparta Rotterdam

PEC Zwolle

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Football Stats Hub

Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle Stats

Match Report

Sparta Rotterdam to win and both teams to score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Sparta Rotterdam

PEC Zwolle

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