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Spain U19 crestSpain U19
v
Germany U19 crestGermany U19

UEFA U19 Championship | Sat 11 Jul, 19:00

Spain U19 v Germany U19 Stats

Data last updated: Sun 26 Jul 2026, 01:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Spain U19 face Germany U19 in UEFA U19 Championship on Sat 11 Jul, 19:00. A Group A Showdown With Serious Spark. That is not just good form; that is tournament dominance with a grin on its face.

BT4Y best bet

Settles as a win if both competing lineups score at least one goal within standard regular time

  • At 6/1, Settles as a win if both competing lineups score at least one goal within standard regular time implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
  • Their games have carried a wild edge, with all six of their recent matches going over 1.5 and over 2.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Spain U19 and 100% for Germany U19, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Spain U19 are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.25 goals per match, with Germany U19 at 2.5.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Spain U19 and 50% for Germany U19 show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 29% for Settles as a win if both competing lineups score at least one goal within standard regular time sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Spain U19 and 100% for Germany U19, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Their games have carried a wild edge, with all six of their recent matches going over 1.5 and over 2.

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Spain U19.Visible data support
Positive
Spain U19 are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Their games have carried a wild edge, with all.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because their games have carried a wild edge, with all six of their recent matches going over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, while four of those six cleared 3.5. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Spain U19 and 100% for Germany U19, so the goals angle is not just a price call. That tells the story of a side who do not just attack well, but manage matches with maturity.

Main risk

That tells the story of a side who do not just attack well, but manage matches with maturity.

Key Data Signals

Settles as a win if both competing lineups score at least one goal within standard regular time evidence

Their games have carried a wild edge, with all six of their recent matches going over 1.

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Spain U19 and 100% for Germany U19, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Spain U19 are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.25 goals per match, with Germany U19 at 2.5.

BTTS rates of 0% for Spain U19 and 50% for Germany U19 show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Settles as a win if both competing lineups score at least one goal within standard regular time notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Spain U194.25
Avg goals scored
Germany U192.5
Spain U190
Avg goals conceded
Germany U192
Spain U190%
BTTS rate
Germany U1950%
Spain U19100%
Over 2.5 goals
Germany U19100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Germany U19 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Spain U19 to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Spain U19 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Germany U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Spain U19

WWWW
Last 54W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 0L
08 Jul 2026H Croatia U193-0
04 Jul 2026H Germany U194-0
01 Jul 2026A Denmark U193-0
28 Jun 2026A Wales U197-0

Germany U19

WLWW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
08 Jul 2026A Ukraine U192-1
04 Jul 2026A Spain U190-4
01 Jul 2026A Wales U194-0
28 Jun 2026H Denmark U194-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Germany U19 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Spain U19 to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Spain U19 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Germany U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBetUK guide price · model 19%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Spain U19 wins
0Draws
0Germany U19 wins
04 Jul 2026Spain U19 v Germany U194-0
23 Jun 2025Spain U19 v Germany U196-5
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Spain U19 to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Germany U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBetUK guide price · model 19%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA U19 Championship

Spain U195
Played
Germany U195
Spain U193.8
Avg goals for
Germany U192
Spain U190
Avg goals against
Germany U192
Spain U195
Clean sheets
Germany U191
Best odds for this sectionGermany U19 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Spain U19 to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Spain U19 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Germany U19 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
Season data supports Germany U19 Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Spain U19 Over 2.5
100%Germany U19 Over 2.5
7.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Spain U19 sit at 100% and Germany U19 sit at 100% with the H2H average at 7.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.