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West Ham crestWest Ham

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 18 Jul, 15:00

Southend v West Ham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 05:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This pre-season friendly between Southend and West Ham offers a compelling tactical clash shaped by fresh squads and fitness tests. Southend enters with strong recent attacking form, averaging over two goals per game in competitive matches, while West Ham faces defensive challenges due to absences but retains a potent frontline led by Erik Botheim and Sead Haksabanovic. Both teams have shown vulnerability at the back, setting the stage for an open and unpredictable encounter where offensive efficiency and defensive resilience will be decisive. The match promises to be a lively test of attacking intent versus defensive organization under new managerial direction for West Ham.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Southend has scored in seven consecutive recent matches, demonstrating consistent attacking threat.
  • West Ham has scored in 16 straight friendlies but conceded multiple goals in six of their last seven games.
  • Both teams have struggled defensively, with Southend failing to keep a clean sheet in eight matches and West Ham conceding heavily recently.
  • Pre-season squad rotations and absences weaken defensive stability, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% chance, reflecting Southend's strong scoring run and West Ham's consistent offensive output despite defensive frailties. The price of 1.67 offers positive value with a 16% edge, supported by tactical factors such as Southend's attacking momentum and West Ham's depleted defense. The thinner data sample for West Ham is offset by recent form and injury context, making BTTS a plausible outcome in this open, high-tempo friendly.

Southend scoring consistency7 consecutive matches with goals
Strong positive
West Ham scoring streak16 consecutive matches with goals
Strong positive
Defensive vulnerabilityBoth teams concede regularly
Positive
Price vs model chance16% value edge at 1.67 odds
Strong positive
Main risk

The main risk is that either team adopts a cautious defensive approach due to pre-season fitness concerns, which could limit scoring opportunities and reduce the likelihood of both teams finding the net.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“This fixture's attacking patterns and defensive frailties create a fertile environment for both teams to score. Southend's consistent goal-scoring and West Ham's offensive potency, despite defensive gaps, underline the appeal of the BTTS market in this pre-season test.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Southend has scored in seven consecutive recent matches, demonstrating consistent attacking threat.

West Ham has scored in 16 straight friendlies but conceded multiple goals in six of their last seven games.

Both teams have struggled defensively, with Southend failing to keep a clean sheet in eight matches and West Ham conceding heavily recently.

Pre-season squad rotations and absences weaken defensive stability, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent trends over the last seven to sixteen friendlies reveal high goal totals and frequent BTTS outcomes for both teams.
  • This suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionSouthend Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 17% · edge +56.3 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Load more odds for this section
Southend to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
West Ham to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.67 with an implied chance of 59.9%, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating positive value. This reflects the strong attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. The price is attractive without warning flags, making it a solid option for standard stakes in this friendly context.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Southend2
Avg goals scored
West Ham-
Southend1
Avg goals conceded
West Ham-
Southend100%
BTTS rate
West Ham-
Southend100%
Over 2.5 goals
West Ham-
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +9 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Both teams have demonstrated reliable scoring sequences recently, with Southend scoring in seven consecutive matches and West Ham in sixteen. Defensive frailties are evident, with frequent concessions leading to open games. This combination supports a high likelihood of both teams scoring, especially given the pre-season setting where defensive cohesion is still developing.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Southend

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
14 Jul 2026H Cambridge United2-1

West Ham

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for West Ham yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 28% · edge +58.2 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
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Southend Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 74%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Southend to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
West Ham to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Southend's recent form includes scoring two goals and conceding one in their latest match, maintaining a 100% BTTS rate in recent friendlies. West Ham's form is less stable defensively but features consistent scoring. This recent output underscores the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Southend wins
0Draws
0West Ham wins
Best odds for this sectionSouthend to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 12% · edge +53.9 pts
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
West Ham to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
There is no recent head-to-head data available for this fixture, limiting historical insight. Therefore, current form, tactical context, and player availability are more relevant indicators for predicting match dynamics and scoring patterns.
Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Southend1
Played
West Ham0
Southend2
Avg goals for
West Ham0
Southend1
Avg goals against
West Ham0
Southend0
Clean sheets
West Ham0
Best odds for this sectionSouthend Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 17% · edge +56.3 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Load more odds for this section
Southend to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
West Ham to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Seasonal data shows Southend averaging over two goals per game recently, highlighting attacking potency, while West Ham maintains a high goal-scoring average but concedes frequently. Both teams' defensive records are porous, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends in this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Southend Over 2.5
-West Ham Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends over the last seven to sixteen friendlies reveal high goal totals and frequent BTTS outcomes for both teams. This suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Southend v West Ham prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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