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Sonderjyske crestSonderjyske
v
Viborg crestViborg

Superliga | Fri 07 Aug, 18:00

Sonderjyske v Viborg Stats

Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 04:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sonderjyske face Viborg in Superliga on Fri 07 Aug, 18:00. Sønderjyske welcome Viborg to AL Sydbank Park on Friday evening for a Danish Superliga fixture that already carries more tension than a Round 3 match normally should. Sønderjyske and Viborg show similar overall levels, making execution more important than raw form.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 65%, above the 27% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 8/15, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Both sides show defensive vulnerabilities with Sønderjyske conceding 2.2 goals per match and Viborg conceding 1.6.
  • Viborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Sonderjyske.
  • Sonderjyske sit 12 in the table, while Viborg sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 27% (-38.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.25.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Viborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Sonderjyske. Both sides show defensive vulnerabilities with Sønderjyske conceding 2.2 goals per match and Viborg conceding 1.6.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Negative
Viborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Sonderjyske sit 12 in the table, while Viborg sit 2.Visible data support
Positive
Both sides show defensive vulnerabilities with Sønderjyske conceding 2.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sonderjyske Win is the preferred angle because both sides show defensive vulnerabilities with Sønderjyske conceding that scoring level per match and Viborg conceding 1.6. Viborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Sonderjyske. Sønderjyske carry the stronger scoring threat, but Viborg must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Sønderjyske carry the stronger scoring threat, but Viborg must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Both sides show defensive vulnerabilities with Sønderjyske conceding 2.2 goals per match and Viborg conceding 1.6.

Viborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Sonderjyske.

Viborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Sonderjyske Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sonderjyske sit 12 in the table, while Viborg sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sonderjyske1
    Avg goals scored
    Viborg0.5
    Sonderjyske2
    Avg goals conceded
    Viborg0.5
    Sonderjyske50%
    BTTS rate
    Viborg0%
    Sonderjyske50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Viborg0%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSonderjyske to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 28% · edge -0.8 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Sonderjyske Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Sonderjyske to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

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    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sonderjyske7
    Avg corners for
    Viborg5
    Sonderjyske12.5
    Avg total corners
    Viborg14
    Sonderjyske1
    Avg yellow cards
    Viborg2.5
    Sonderjyske12.5
    Avg shots
    Viborg11.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 64% · edge +5.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sonderjyske

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    03 Aug 2026A Odense0-1
    26 Jul 2026H FC Midtjylland2-3

    Viborg

    LW
    Last 51W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 1L
    02 Aug 2026A Brondby0-1
    24 Jul 2026H Odense1-0
    Market aligned with main pickSonderjyske to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 28% · edge -0.8 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Sonderjyske Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 52%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Sonderjyske wins
    3Draws
    6Viborg wins
    08 May 2026Viborg v Sonderjyske0-1
    12 Apr 2026Sonderjyske v Viborg0-2
    28 Nov 2025Sonderjyske v Viborg2-2
    08 Aug 2025Viborg v Sonderjyske1-0
    27 Apr 2025Sonderjyske v Viborg2-2
    06 Apr 2025Viborg v Sonderjyske2-1
    Market aligned with main pickSonderjyske to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 28% · edge -0.8 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sonderjyske to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Superliga

    Sonderjyske5
    Played
    Viborg5
    Sonderjyske0.8
    Avg goals for
    Viborg1.4
    Sonderjyske2
    Avg goals against
    Viborg0.4
    Sonderjyske1
    Clean sheets
    Viborg3
    Market aligned with main pickSonderjyske to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 28% · edge -0.8 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Sonderjyske Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Season data supports Sonderjyske to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Viborg1053115
    12Sonderjyske15014-6
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Sonderjyske Over 2.5
    0%Viborg Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sonderjyske sit at 50% and Viborg sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Sonderjyske v Viborg prediction

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    Next step

    Betting context

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